Match Info

Paulista A2 - First stage - Round 10

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Taubaté		Atlético Monte Azul

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.7	Watch
	1.98	3.08	3.91
	1.96	3.12	3.82	Watch
	1.95	2.9	3.75
	1.99	3.41	3.66	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.3)	3.1 ↑ (3.01)	3.77 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taubaté
46.4%

Draw
29.4%

Atlético Monte Azul
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

29.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taubaté has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Taubaté's performance.

Atlético Monte Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Monte Azul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taubaté than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Taubaté that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Monte Azul than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Monte Azul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Taubaté - Atlético Monte Azul Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Macario ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Macario ⚽,
45+5', 3 - 1, Romarinho ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
48', 3 - 2, Bahia A. ⚽,
83', 🟥,
90+6', 3 - 3, Bahia A. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 12)

Taubaté is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Monte Azul has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Taubaté may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Monte Azul has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taubaté won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Taubaté won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Taubaté
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
11.02.26	Votuporanguense - Taubaté	1:2 ✺
06.02.26	Taubaté - São José-SP	1:2 ✺
01.02.26	Taubaté - Ituano	0:1 ✺
28.01.26	Linense - Taubaté	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Taubaté - Ferroviária	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLTL
- Atlético Monte Azul
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
11.02.26	Grêmio Prudente - Atlético Monte Azul	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Piracicaba - Atlético Monte Azul	2:0 ✺
28.01.26	Atlético Monte Azul - Votuporanguense	2:3 ✺
24.01.26	São José-SP - Atlético Monte Azul	1:1 ✺
21.01.26	São Bento - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
28.01.24	Taubaté - Atlético Monte Azul	2:1
22.01.23	Atlético Monte Azul - Taubaté	1:1
20.02.22	Atlético Monte Azul - Taubaté	1:1
30.04.21	Taubaté - Atlético Monte Azul	0:1
09.02.20	Atlético Monte Azul - Taubaté	3:1

Taubaté - Atlético Monte Azul: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide