Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	Taunton Town		Chertsey Town

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.8	4.15
	1.66	4.21	4.05
	1.67	3.8	4.26
	1.85	3.75	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.82)	3.89 ↑ (3.57)	3.99 ↑ (3.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
53.6%

Draw
23.5%

Chertsey Town
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25.4%

24.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.1%

24.8%

24.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Taunton Town - Chertsey Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Robertson L. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+9', 0 - 2, Hector D. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 13).

Taunton is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Chertsey has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Taunton has had a series of away games.

Recently, Chertsey has had a series of home games.

In this match, Taunton is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Taunton won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 2.5:3).

Including home match between the teams, Taunton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Portchester - Taunton Town	2:1 ✺
English Southern League South Division
23.09.25	Dorchester Town - Taunton Town	1:4 ✺
20.09.25	Farnham Town - Taunton Town	4:0 ✺
English FA Cup
16.09.25	Weston-super-Mare - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
13.09.25	Taunton Town - Weston-super-Mare	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 LWLLT
- Chertsey Town
English FA Trophy
04.10.25	Chertsey Town - Tilbury	1:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
23.09.25	Chertsey Town - Havant & Waterlooville	2:0 ✺
20.09.25	Chertsey Town - Gosport Borough	1:3 ✺
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Chertsey Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:3 ✺
English Southern League South Division
09.09.25	Hanwell Town - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
25.03.25	Chertsey Town - Taunton Town	3:3
30.11.24	Taunton Town - Chertsey Town	2:3

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