Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 8

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday


	Chertsey Town		Gosport Borough

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.5	2.72
	2.25	3.54	2.78
	2.25	3.42	2.76
	2.25	3.6	2.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (2.22)	3.52 ↑ (3.49)	2.74 (2.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chertsey Town
40.8%

Draw
26%

Gosport Borough
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

26%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

25.7%

33.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chertsey Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Gosport Borough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chertsey Town than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gosport Borough than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Chertsey Town - Gosport Borough Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Mazzone J. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
70', 1 - 1, Taylor E. ⚽,
74', 1 - 2, Jones E. ⚽,
80', 1 - 3, Morrison J. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 14).

Recent performances by Chertsey have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Gosport is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chertsey won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Chertsey won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chertsey Town
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Chertsey Town - Cray Valley Paper Mills	2:3 ✺
English Southern League South Division
09.09.25	Hanwell Town - Chertsey Town	1:2 ✺
06.09.25	Poole Town - Chertsey Town	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Chertsey Town - Uxbridge	3:3 ✺
23.08.25	Yate Town - Chertsey Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLTT
- Gosport Borough
English FA Cup
13.09.25	Gosport Borough - Poole Town	0:3 ✺
English Southern League South Division
10.09.25	Gosport Borough - Wimborne Town	1:0 ✺
06.09.25	Yate Town - Gosport Borough	1:1 ✺
25.08.25	Gosport Borough - Walton & Hersham	0:2 ✺
23.08.25	Uxbridge - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
01.03.25	Gosport Borough - Chertsey Town	0:2
23.11.24	Chertsey Town - Gosport Borough	0:2

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