Match Info

Date: 11 December 2021, Saturday


	Taunton Town		Hartley Wintney

	1	X	2
	1.4	4.5	5.75
	1.46	4.3	5.2
	1.52	4.53	5.4
	1.48	4.35	5.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)	4.42 ↓ (4.5)	5.51 ↓ (5.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
62.6%

Draw
20.8%

Hartley Wintney
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

75.4%

17.1%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Hartley Wintney has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taunton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hartley Wintney than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Taunton Town - Hartley Wintney Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 19).

Recent matches Taunton is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hartley Wintney has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recently Hartley Wintney have a series of home games.

In this match Taunton is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Taunton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Taunton won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
04.12.21	Walton Casuals - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
27.11.21	Taunton Town - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
20.11.21	Taunton Town - Gosport Borough	2:1 ✺
16.11.21	Weston-super-Mare - Taunton Town	2:0 ✺
13.11.21	Yate Town - Taunton Town	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TTWLT
- Hartley Wintney
English Southern League South Division
04.12.21	Hartley Wintney - Weston-super-Mare	1:2 ✺
English FA Trophy
27.11.21	Hartley Wintney - Folkestone Invicta	0:2 ✺
English Southern League South Division
23.11.21	Hartley Wintney - Yate Town	2:2 ✺
20.11.21	Walton Casuals - Hartley Wintney	4:3 ✺
16.11.21	Hartley Wintney - Tiverton Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
02.10.21	Hartley Wintney - Taunton Town	1:2
09.03.19	Taunton Town - Hartley Wintney	2:2
15.12.18	Hartley Wintney - Taunton Town	3:1

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