Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 10

Date: 29 May 2025, Thursday

Location: Umea Energi Arena SOL (Umea)


	Team TG		Assyriska Föreningen

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.15	3.65	2.06
	2.78	3.45	1.99
	3.18	3.71	2.08	Watch
	3.1	3.3	2.05
	3.15	3.58	2.06	Watch
	3.15	3.65	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	3.56 ↓ (3.65)	2.05 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Team TG
29.7%

Draw
25.7%

Assyriska Föreningen
44.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

25.4%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.6%

24.1%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Team TG has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Assyriska Föreningen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Team TG than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Assyriska Föreningen than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Team TG - Assyriska Föreningen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jerner A. (G) 22. Andreasson J. 4. Berglin W. 12. Hansson E. 11. Hansson W. 8. Junghagen Pliatsikas A. 17. Naslund A. 34. Naslund P. 77. Rafael T. 5. Ronnlund W. (C) 37. Wolf-Watz M.	1. Rhawi J. (C) 10. Aphrem C. 23. Asberg V. 24. Essombe Mambingo J. 7. Fernandez H. 6. Gukasian E. 21. Haddad M. 4. Hannioui T. 13. Jarret-Marston K. 5. Karlsson A. 14. Tibbling J.
Substitutes
25. Bayeke S. 10. Gustafsson H. 15. Haglund N. 13. Lidman A. (G) 21. Mossnelid A. 6. Mumand H. 19. Nihorimbere L.	19. Alp A. 9. Bagir M. 8. Barmousa E. 2. Denoual K. 16. Hillemar L. 17. Jenhani A. 51. Kaya K. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Tibbling J. ⚽, Fernandez H. (A),
27', 0 - 2, Aphrem C. ⚽, Tibbling J. (A),
45+2', 1 - 2, Naslund P. ⚽, Rafael T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Rafael T. ↓, Mossnelid A. ↑,
71', Hansson W. ↓, Nihorimbere L. ↑,
76', Gukasian E. ↓, Hillemar L. ↑,
76', Aphrem C. ↓, Jenhani A. ↑,
76', Fernandez H. ↓, Alp A. ↑,
82', Asberg V. ↓, Denoual K. ↑,
84', Naslund A. 🟨,
87', Tibbling J. ↓, Bagir M. ↑,
90+2', Mossnelid A. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Team TG has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Assyriska FF has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Assyriska FF has had a series of home games.

Assyriska FF might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Team TG won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Team TG won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team TG FF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
25.05.25	Örebro Syrianska - Team TG	0:4 ✺
18.05.25	Vasalund - Team TG	6:0 ✺
11.05.25	Team TG - Hammarby TFF	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	United Nordic - Team TG	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Team TG - AFC Eskilstuna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLLT
- Assyriska Föreningen
Swedish Division 1 Norra
25.05.25	Assyriska Föreningen - United Nordic	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	Assyriska Föreningen - AFC Eskilstuna	2:1 ✺
11.05.25	Örebro Syrianska - Assyriska Föreningen	1:0 ✺
05.05.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Vasalund	3:0 ✺
27.04.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Hammarby TFF	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
07.10.18	Assyriska Föreningen - Team TG	0:0
06.06.18	Team TG - Assyriska Föreningen	2:1
17.09.17	Team TG - Assyriska Föreningen	2:3
11.06.17	Assyriska Föreningen - Team TG	3:2

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