Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 14

Date: 26 June 2026, Friday

Location: Sodertalje Fotbollsarena (Södertälje)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Assyriska Föreningen		Vasalund

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.00	3.55	2.00
	2.59	3.60	2.05
	3	3.66	2.13	Watch
	2.80	3.70	2.10
	2.80	3.94	2.18	Watch
	2.9	3.5	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↓ (2.97)	3.66 ↑ (3.63)	2.07 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Assyriska Föreningen
31.7%

Draw
24.7%

Vasalund
43.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

25.1%

44.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.7%

25.2%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Assyriska Föreningen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Vasalund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Assyriska Föreningen than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasalund than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Assyriska Föreningen - Vasalund Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Ronnelow L. (G) 7. Aaltonen F. 23. Asberg V. (C) 12. Edgren S. 24. Jacob A. 9. Jonsson L. 6. Kalabane A. 18. Larrain M. 17. Nnamani S. 2. Sjoblom E. 14. Widerberg V.	25. Graasvoll T. (G) 7. Amos P. 11. Khan A. 15. Lukic F. 8. Lundstrom J. (C) 6. Lundvall L. 9. Mac Callum E. 28. Ostergren M. 5. Soelberg P. 12. Torppa E. 26. Westin T.
Substitutes
11. Duranic A. 25. Haddad G. 13. Jacob A. 15. Khomenko V. 8. Nahas D. T. 31. Osayi K. (G)	21. Bajrovic M. 24. Bilgec B. 2. Kallman L. 27. Schaaf O. 14. Sliwo C. 1. Stattin I. (G) 17. Surer A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, ⚽,
5', 1 - 1, ⚽,
25', 🟨,
34', 🟨,
43', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 🟨,
85', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 in the zone Division 1 ~ Relegation (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Assyriska FF won 3.

Assyriska FF is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Vasalund has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Assyriska FF may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Vasalund could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Assyriska FF won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:8. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Assyriska FF won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:5. (average 2.2:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Assyriska FF	25	9	5	11	43:45	-2	32
12	Vasalund	25	7	6	12	36:52	-16	27

Last Results with these Odds

Vasalund - the odds 2.05 are the expected chance of winning is 44.33%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Assyriska Föreningen
Swedish Division 1 Norra
21.06.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Karlstad	2:2 ✺
14.06.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Assyriska Föreningen	1:0 ✺
07.06.26	Arlanda - Assyriska Föreningen	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Enköping	4:2 ✺
Svenska Cupen
28.05.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Vasalund	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLLWL
- Vasalunds IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
18.06.26	Vasalund - Karlberg	0:4 ✺
14.06.26	Enköping - Vasalund	1:1 ✺
08.06.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Vasalund	4:1 ✺
03.06.26	Vasalund - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
Svenska Cupen
28.05.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Vasalund	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Svenska Cupen
28.05.26	Assyriska Föreningen - Vasalund	0:1
Swedish Division 1 Norra
14.09.25	Vasalund - Assyriska Föreningen	1:2
05.05.25	Assyriska Föreningen - Vasalund	3:0
25.08.24	Vasalund - Assyriska Föreningen	2:1
07.04.24	Assyriska Föreningen - Vasalund	2:1
27.08.17	Assyriska Föreningen - Vasalund	4:2
08.07.17	Vasalund - Assyriska Föreningen	0:0

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