Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 25

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Umea Energi Arena SOL (Umea)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Team TG		Gefle

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	6.5	4.45	1.41
	7.17	4.68	1.4
	12.12	6.98	1.18	Watch
	7.05	4.35	1.41	Watch
	5.8	4.3	1.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.73 ↑ (4.65)	4.95 ↑ (3.75)	1.37 ↓ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Team TG
12.2%

Draw
19%

Gefle
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

24.3%

56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.9%

23.4%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Team TG has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Team TG's form might have worsened.

Gefle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gefle's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Team TG than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Team TG, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gefle than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gefle, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Team TG - Gefle Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Gefle (1.61) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gefle (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jerner A. (G) 8. Afshari T. 22. Andreasson J. 4. Berglin W. 14. Carrick E. 12. Hansson E. 7. Junghagen Pliatsikas A. 9. Kamf V. (C) 10. Lindgren T. 17. Naslund A. 37. Wolf-Watz M.	22. Strindlund V. (G) 23. Andersson H. 13. Berggren M. 4. Hansemon T. 12. Jacinto C. 19. Lenerius L. 15. Nezirevic A. 16. Persson K. 29. Rauschenberg M. (C) 7. Simba P. 20. Sugita Y.
Substitutes
80. Goncalves Karlstedt J. 15. Haglund N. 13. Lidman A. (G) 6. Mumand H. 34. Naslund P. 19. Nihorimbere L. 5. Ronnlund W.	5. Aras U. 27. Johansson T. (G) 2. Kack O. 10. Mokede M. 6. Shino Y. 14. Yaldir D. 9. Zahirovic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Jacinto C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
67', Simba P. ↓, Zahirovic A. ↑,
75', Andreasson J. ↓, Goncalves Karlstedt J. ↑,
78', Andersson H. ↓, Mokede M. ↑,
78', Lenerius L. ↓, Kack O. ↑,
82', 🟨,
89', Sugita Y. ↓, Aras U. ↑,
90+1', Berglin W. ↓, Haglund N. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Team TG won 0.

Team TG has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Gefle has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Gefle is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Gefle will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Team TG won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:24. (average 0.6:2.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Team TG won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1:14. (average 0.3:3.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team TG FF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.09.25	Team TG - Karlberg	2:4 ✺
21.09.25	Stockholm Internazionale - Team TG	5:0 ✺
14.09.25	Team TG - Enköping	2:3 ✺
07.09.25	Team TG - Vasalund	0:5 ✺
31.08.25	Stocksund - Team TG	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Gefle IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
27.09.25	Stocksund - Gefle	2:2 ✺
21.09.25	Gefle - Karlstad	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	AFC Eskilstuna - Gefle	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	Gefle - Haninge	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Gefle - Sollentuna	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
05.04.25	Gefle - Team TG	1:0
14.08.22	Team TG - Gefle	0:2
14.05.22	Gefle - Team TG	3:0
11.10.20	Team TG - Gefle	1:5
17.06.20	Gefle - Team TG	2:1
08.09.19	Team TG - Gefle	0:3
30.05.19	Gefle - Team TG	2:1

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