Match Info

J2 League - Round 8

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Unilever Stadium Shintomi (Miyazaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Tegevajaro Miyazaki		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.6	3.8
	2.05	3.20	3.10
	1.82	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.94	3.58	4.17
	1.83	3.79	3.93	Watch
	1.87	3.45	4.1
	1.87	3.64	3.84	Watch
	1.86	3.55	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.06)	3.53 ↑ (3.49)	3.82 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
49.4%

Draw
26.3%

Consadole Sapporo
24.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

44.5%

26.3%

29.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

25.9%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Consadole Sapporo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	12.5%	0%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tegevajaro Miyazaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tegevajaro Miyazaki will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mogi S. (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 28. Manabe H. 39. Shimokawa Y. 14. Iesaka Y. 8. Yamauchi R. 7. Ano M. 47. Okumura K. 99. Murakoshi K. 9. Hashimoto K.	24. Tagawa T. (G) 2. Takao R. 47. Nishino S. 17. Uchida M. 3. Park Min-Gyu 25. Osaki L. 55. Umetsu R. 71. Shirai H. 27. Arano T. 16. Hasegawa T. 23. Omori S.
Substitutes
15. Abe T. 10. Inoue R. 31. Kimura R. (G) 38. Konishi H. 42. Matsumoto K. 26. Miyawaki S. 45. Tanaka S. 13. Tsutsumi S. 5. Watanabe E.	11. Aoki R. 20. Bakayoko A. 5. Fukumori A. 18. Kido S. 29. Kim Geon-Ung 10. Miyazawa H. 1. Sugeno T. (G) 38. Toyama S. 70. Vini Peixoto
Coaches
Okuma Y.	Kawai K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Murakoshi K. ⚽, Hashimoto K. (A),
40', 2 - 0, Okumura K. ⚽, Iesaka Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Park Min-Gyu ↓, Miyazawa H. ↑,
46', Omori S. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
46', Arano T. ↓, Aoki R. ↑,
67', Osaki L. ↓, Kido S. ↑,
71', Iesaka Y. ↓, Watanabe E. ↑,
72', Ano M. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
75', Hasegawa T. ↓, Vini Peixoto ↑,
78', 3 - 0, Kuroki K. ⚽,
79', Shirai H. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
82', 3 - 1, Toyama S. ⚽, Uchida M. (A),
85', Matsumoto Y. ↓, Tsutsumi S. ↑,
85', Murakoshi K. ↓, Konishi H. ↑,
87', Hashimoto K. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, Bakayoko A. ⚽, Takao R. (A),

Preview

A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 14th and 19th in the Relegation ~ J3 League).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Consadole Sapporo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tegevajaro Miyazaki holding a narrow advantage.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	11	3	5	3	15:15	0	14
14	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	12	4	2	6	15:19	-4	14

Last Results with these Odds

Consadole Sapporo - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.16%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J2 League
18.09.26	Vanraure Hachinohe - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:3 ✺
12.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Fujieda MYFC	3:2 ✺
05.09.26	Sagan Tosu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kataller Toyama	1:2 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Vegalta Sendai - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLL
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2 League
19.09.26	Consadole Sapporo - Oita Trinita	1:1 ✺
13.09.26	Vegalta Sendai - Consadole Sapporo	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Consadole Sapporo - Tochigi City	1:4 ✺
Japan J League Cup
02.09.26	Kagoshima United - Consadole Sapporo	0:1 ✺
Japan J2 League
29.08.26	Ventforet Kofu - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TTLWL

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