Match Info

J2 League - Round 33

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Toyama Stadium (Toyama)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kataller Toyama		Consadole Sapporo

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.15	Watch
	3.15	3.4	2.08
	3.3	3.53	2.21
	3.29	3.27	2.18	Watch
	3.23	3.45	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.15)	3.41 ↑ (3.39)	2.14 ↓ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kataller Toyama
28.9%

Draw
27.4%

Consadole Sapporo
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

27.4%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.1%

26.9%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kataller Toyama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Consadole Sapporo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kataller Toyama than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Consadole Sapporo than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Kataller Toyama - Consadole Sapporo Predictions

Users Predictions: Consadole Sapporo will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Consadole Sapporo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tagawa T. (G) 13. Fukazawa S. 4. Kamiyama K. 3. Kagawa Y. 28. Fuseya S. 24. Kawai Y. 16. Sueki H. 2. Yoshida A. 7. Sasaki Y. 27. Yoshihira T. 11. Ogawa K.	51. Takagi S. (G) 2. Takao R. 50. Urakami N. 47. Nishino S. 33. Kondo T. 10. Miyazawa H. 6. Takamine T. 3. Park Min-Gyu 16. Hasegawa T. 11. Aoki R. 20. Bakayoko A.
Substitutes
88. Hama T. 42. Hirao T. (G) 17. Inoue N. 18. Ito T. 25. Kameda A. 10. Matsuda R. 8. Matsuoka D. 40. Takeuchi Y. 48. Ueda K.	27. Arano T. 35. Hara K. 31. Kido S. 90. Mario Sergio 55. Miya D. 4. Nakamura T. 7. Sarachat S. 1. Sugeno T. (G) 30. Tanaka H.
Coaches
Adachi R.	Shibata S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Takamine T. ⚽,
22', Hasegawa T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Miyazawa H. ↓, Kido S. ↑,
60', Bakayoko A. ↓, Arano T. ↑,
65', Sasaki Y. ↓, Matsuoka D. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Takamine T. ⚽, Takao R. (A),
72', Yoshihira T. ↓, Kameda A. ↑,
72', Yoshida A. ↓, Ito T. ↑,
73', Hasegawa T. ↓, Miya D. ↑,
73', Takao R. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
82', Sueki H. ↓, Inoue N. ↑,
82', Ogawa K. ↓, Matsuda R. ↑,
87', Aoki R. ↓, Sarachat S. ↑,
90', Urakami N. 🟨,
90+2', Kawai Y. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ J3 League and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kataller Toyama won 0.

Kataller Toyama has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Consadole Sapporo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Consadole Sapporo has had a series of home games.

Consadole Sapporo might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Kataller Toyama won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kataller Toyama won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Kataller Toyama - the odds 3.15 are the expected chance of winning is 29.5%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kataller Toyama
Japan J2 League
04.10.25	Fujieda MYFC - Kataller Toyama	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	Kataller Toyama - Tokushima Vortis	1:3 ✺
20.09.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kataller Toyama	1:1 ✺
14.09.25	Montedio Yamagata - Kataller Toyama	3:0 ✺
30.08.25	Kataller Toyama - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLTLL
- Consadole Sapporo
Japan J2 League
04.10.25	Consadole Sapporo - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Consadole Sapporo - Vegalta Sendai	0:3 ✺
20.09.25	Tokushima Vortis - Consadole Sapporo	1:2 ✺
13.09.25	Consadole Sapporo - Iwaki	1:5 ✺
30.08.25	Consadole Sapporo - Omiya Ardija	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
17.05.25	Consadole Sapporo - Kataller Toyama	2:1
Japan J League Cup
09.06.24	Kataller Toyama - Consadole Sapporo	1:2
05.06.24	Consadole Sapporo - Kataller Toyama	1:1
Japan J2 League
19.10.14	Kataller Toyama - Consadole Sapporo	0:2
21.06.14	Consadole Sapporo - Kataller Toyama	2:1
04.08.13	Kataller Toyama - Consadole Sapporo	3:1

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