Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 9

Date: 5 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Unilever Stadium Shintomi (Miyazaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Tegevajaro Miyazaki		Renofa Yamaguchi

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.02	3.15	3.35	Watch
	2.23	3.2	3.39
	2.1	3.21	3.55	Watch
	2	3.1	3.4
	2.04	3.13	3.45	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.14)	3.16 ↓ (3.46)	3.43 ↑ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
44.2%

Draw
29.1%

Renofa Yamaguchi
26.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

26.8%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

26%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Renofa Yamaguchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Renofa Yamaguchi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	100%	0%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Renofa Yamaguchi Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mogi S. (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 15. Abe T. 39. Shimokawa Y. 8. Rikiyasu S. 27. Yamauchi R. 7. Ano M. 47. Okumura K. 10. Inoue R. 11. Toshida Y.	41. Iida M. (G) 3. Oiwa K. 5. Yoshioka K. 2. Ozawa R. 25. Fujimori S. 6. Wakasa Y. 40. Naruoka H. 20. Suenaga T. 4. Nakashima K. 28. Kobayashi S. 34. Furukawa D.
Substitutes
40. Ando R. 42. Matsumoto K. 31. Okamoto M. (G) 6. Okuma K. 82. Sakai S. 18. Sato R. 58. Take H. 45. Tanaka S. 5. Watanabe E.	99. Endo M. (G) 11. Fujioka K. 49. Mineda Y. 7. Misawa N. 36. Nishido H. 8. Noyori K. 17. Tanabe K. 77. Yamamoto R. 19. Yamamoto S.
Coaches
Okuma Y.	Otagiri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, Okumura K. ⚽, Toshida Y. (A),
34', Nakashima K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Kobayashi S. ↓, Fujioka K. ↑,
46', Suenaga T. ↓, Tanabe K. ↑,
46', Fujimori S. ↓, Yamamoto R. ↑,
63', Yoshioka K. 🟨,
65', 2 - 0, Inoue R. ⚽, Okumura K. (A),
67', Nakashima K. ↓, Misawa N. ↑,
73', Ano M. ↓, Sakai S. ↑,
73', Rikiyasu S. ↓, Watanabe E. ↑,
81', Furukawa D. ↓, Yamamoto S. ↑,
82', Inoue R. ↓, Ando R. ↑,
82', Toshida Y. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
87', 3 - 0, Shimokawa Y. ⚽,
88', Yamauchi R. ↓, Sato R. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Renofa Yamaguchi has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Renofa Yamaguchi has had a series of home games.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Renofa Yamaguchi - the odds 3.11 are the expected chance of winning is 29.83%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J2 J3 League
29.03.26	Reilac Shiga - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:3 ✺
28.02.26	Ryūkyū - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWW
- Renofa Yamaguchi
Japan J2 J3 League
29.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Oita Trinita	3:1 ✺
22.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Giravanz Kitakyushu	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ryūkyū - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:2 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Sagan Tosu	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Renofa Yamaguchi - Gainare Tottori	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWL

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