Match Info

FNL 2 - Division A Gold - Fall Season - Round 17

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadion Tekstilshchik (Ivanovo)


	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo		Alania Vladikavkaz

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.55	6.89
	1.58	3.2	5.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.64)	3.38 ↓ (3.72)	6.11 ↑ (4.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
58.3%

Draw
26.9%

Alania Vladikavkaz
14.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

24.4%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

23.2%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Alania Vladikavkaz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alania Vladikavkaz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tekstilshchik Ivanovo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alania Vladikavkaz than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Alania Vladikavkaz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Ryabinkin A. (G) 69. Anosov D. 9. Azarov V. 7. Bammatgereev M. 23. Chistyakov N. 80. Fenin F. 21. Khityaev A. 26. Klementyev I. 11. Melekestsev T. 3. Polyakov M. 76. Steshin E.	89. Shashlov D. (G) 71. Byazrov A. 7. Dibirov I. 27. Gogniev R. 95. Gogniev S. 6. Ibragimov E. 21. Kozyrev A. 75. Ogoev S. 55. Ramonov Z. 91. Tsallagov D. 9. Zakirov A. M.
Substitutes
85. Davydov D. (G) 5. Evdokimov A. 79. Kudryk D. 10. Kvekveskiri D. 19. Noskov M. 30. Ramazanov M. 99. Tatarinov E. 88. Tyurin V. 65. Yartsev A.	1. Byazrov D. (G) 52. Chetoev T. 17. Dudaev I. 77. Dzestelov A. 37. Gagloev T. 4. Kachmazov S. 76. Karkuzaev G. 8. Khugaev A. 23. Nikolov T. 92. Stanisavljevic A. 57. Tepsikoev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Melekestsev T. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Khityaev A. ⚽,
34', Kozyrev A. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Gogniev S. 🟨,
60', Tsallagov D. ↓, Nikolov T. ↑,
60', Ibragimov E. ↓, Kachmazov S. ↑,
68', Zakirov A. M. ↓, Tepsikoev D. ↑,
68', Kozyrev A. ↓, Gagloev T. ↑,
69', 🟨,
71', Melekestsev T. ↓, Tatarinov E. ↑,
72', Fenin F. ↓, Noskov M. ↑,
72', Bammatgereev M. ↓, Tyurin V. ↑,
74', Ogoev S. 🟨,
76', Ogoev S. ↓, Dudaev I. ↑,
81', Azarov V. ↓, Kvekveskiri D. ↑,
86', Chistyakov N. ↓, Yartsev A. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Kvekveskiri D. ⚽,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: ) and 9 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: )).

Alania is Relegated to FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season )

Tekstilshchik is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Alania's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tekstilshchik may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tekstilshchik is considered a favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tekstilshchik won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.6:2.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Tekstilshchik won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:6. (average 0:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tekstilshchik Ivanovo
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
05.11.25	Dynamo 2 Moscow - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:4 ✺
01.11.25	Dynamo Kirov - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	0:3 ✺
25.10.25	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Volgar Astrakhan	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Leningradets - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWLT
- Alania Vladikavkaz
Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
02.11.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Mashuk-KMV Pyatigorsk	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Sibir Novosibirsk - Alania Vladikavkaz	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Veles Moscow	0:4 ✺
11.10.25	Tyumen - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Dynamo 2 Moscow	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Division A Gold
14.09.25	Alania Vladikavkaz - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	1:2
Russian FNL
06.03.22	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:4
29.08.21	Alania Vladikavkaz - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	4:0
24.03.21	Tekstilshchik Ivanovo - Alania Vladikavkaz	0:2
27.09.20	Alania Vladikavkaz - Tekstilshchik Ivanovo	3:1

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