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Current Win Probability
Telavi 64%
Draw 20.7%
Gagra 15.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.2%
32.1%
37.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.3%
32.2%
37.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Telavi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+33.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Telavi's performance.
Gagra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gagra might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telavi than the current prediction. (-33.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Telavi that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gagra than the current prediction. (+22.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gagra could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Telavi - Gagra Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Gagra (1.50) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gagra (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Shevchenko O. (G) 22. Gogotishvili D. 12. Tsnobiladze D. (C) 23. Datuashvili A. 5. Gabitashvili P. 21. Basheleishvili M. 8. Devdariani A. 2. Basheleishvili N. 29. Parkinashvili E. 19. Martin I. 11. Zhividze T.
21. Siukaev A. (G) 40. Claudinei 14. Tchavtchanidze Z. 2. Augusto 25. Wanderson 22. Borges P. 27. Skrypnyk I. 6. Tsintsadze M. (C) 18. Zoidze S. 11. Gotsiridze D. 33. Kharebashvili G.
Substitutes
3. Ananidze A. 32. Arabuli B. 16. Chkhetiani G. 4. Gigashvili Z. 6. Kpozo E. 28. Kutalia D. 1. Tandilashvili L. (G) 7. Tsetskhladze N.
29. Adeyemi R. 26. Ardazishvili R. 3. Chochia O. 9. Mujiri D. 30. Nadareishvili G. 5. Salukvadze L. 1. Sciapanau R. (G)
Coaches
Gagua V.
Oniani G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Gabitashvili P. ⚽,
15', Datuashvili A. 🟨,
30', Claudinei 🟥,
35', Tsnobiladze D. (Pen),
41', 2 - 0, Martin I. ⚽, Gabitashvili P. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Skrypnyk I. ↓, Ardazishvili R. ↑,
58', 3 - 0, Tsnobiladze D. ⚽, Parkinashvili E. (A),
60', Martin I. ↓, Arabuli B. ↑,
60', Zhividze T. ↓, Chkhetiani G. ↑,
61', Gabitashvili P. 🟨,
65', Tsintsadze M. ↓, Nadareishvili G. ↑,
65', Borges P. ↓, Adeyemi R. ↑,
65', Gotsiridze D. ↓, Mujiri D. ↑,
65', Wanderson ↓, Salukvadze L. ↑,
73', Mujiri D. 🟨,
78', 4 - 0, Devdariani A. ⚽,
83', Devdariani A. ↓, Kpozo E. ↑,
83', Tsnobiladze D. ↓, Gigashvili Z. ↑,
83', Gogotishvili D. ↓, Tsetskhladze N. ↑,
87', Kpozo E. 🟨,
90+1', Basheleishvili M. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Telavi won 0.
Recent performances by Telavi have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Gagra is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Gagra may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Gagra has had a series of away games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Telavi won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.6:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Telavi won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 0.4:0.4).
Watch
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Shevchenko O. (G) 
Gogotishvili D. 
Martin I. 
Siukaev A. (G) 
Claudinei 
Kpozo E. 
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