Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 2

Date: 23 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tenerife		Almería

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.2	2.55	Watch
	2.65	3.10	2.45
	3.1	3.1	2.25	Watch
	2.87	3.23	2.7
	2.78	3.19	2.64	Watch
	2.75	3.15	2.6
	2.8	3.27	2.64	Watch
	2.65	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.06)	3.18 ↓ (3.22)	2.55 ↑ (2.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
33.7%

Draw
29.5%

Almería
36.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.4%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

30.1%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Almería has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Almería than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	57.1%	14.3%

Tenerife - Almería Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Almería will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Almería (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Almería (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 19. Alvarez C. 12. Landazuri A. 4. Leon J. 2. Rodriguez D. 24. Chapela I. 6. Juanjo Sanchez 16. Alvarez J. 8. Moreno V. 10. Gil N. 18. Enric (C)	1. Fernandez A. (G) 22. Chirino D. 5. Pulido J. 18. Bonini F. 3. Munoz A. 29. Dzodic S. 6. Vesga M. 20. Sola A. 10. Melamed N. 23. Embarba A. (C) 24. de la Fuente M.
Substitutes
9. de Miguel J. 40. De Vuyst G. (G) 26. Diocou B. 15. Fabricio 29. Fernandez D. 23. Krdzalic A. 11. Lopez N. 21. Mateu M. 5. Moreno J. 7. Pecar M. 20. Pitton M. 27. Viereck N.	21. Chumi 17. Cipenga B. 33. Junyent Q. 12. Leo Baptistao 30. Lopez J. (G) 2. Luna M. 13. Martinez F. (G) 7. Morcillo J. 19. Rodrigo Ely
Coaches
Cervera A.	Garcia Pimienta

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Alvarez J. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Enric ⚽, Gil N. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sola A. ↓, Cipenga B. ↑,
53', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
54', Chapela I. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
66', Chirino D. ↓, Luna M. ↑,
66', Vesga M. ↓, Junyent Q. ↑,
72', Moreno V. ↓, Pecar M. ↑,
72', Enric ↓, de Miguel J. ↑,
75', Munoz A. ↓, Morcillo J. ↑,
81', Alvarez C. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
81', Gil N. ↓, Krdzalic A. ↑,
88', Embarba A. ↓, Leo Baptistao ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 0.

Tenerife is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Almería's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Almería has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Tenerife: Krdzalic A. (Injury) Mateu M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Almería: Arribas S. (Inactive) Gui Guedes (Knee Injury) Thalys (Red Card)

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 12:22. (average 0.7:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Almeria	8	6	0	2	13:5	8	18
14	Tenerife	8	3	2	3	10:12	-2	11

Last Results with these Odds

Almería - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.73%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
16.08.26	Eibar - Tenerife	1:3 ✺
Club Friendly
04.08.26	Tenerife - Tamaraceite	3:2 ✺
01.08.26	Tenerife - Cádiz	2:2 ✺
26.07.26	Marino - Tenerife	0:6 ✺
22.07.26	Tenerife - Getafe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WWTWL
- UD Almería
Spanish LaLiga2
17.08.26	Almería - Eldense	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
07.08.26	Córdoba - Almería	0:4 ✺
04.08.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Almería	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Betis - Almería	1:0 ✺
29.07.26	Granada - Almería	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
01.06.25	Almería - Tenerife	2:0
24.08.24	Tenerife - Almería	0:1
21.03.22	Tenerife - Almería	0:1
24.09.21	Almería - Tenerife	3:1
07.05.21	Tenerife - Almería	0:1
26.11.20	Almería - Tenerife	2:0
04.07.20	Almería - Tenerife	1:2

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