Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 11

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Tenerife		Athletic Bilbao B

	1	X	2
	1.48	3.5	6.25
	1.52	3.7	6.1
	1.52	3.65	7.26
	1.48	3.99	6.66	Watch
	1.6	3.4	5.54
	1.45	3.55	5.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.48)	3.63 ↓ (3.99)	6.18 ↓ (6.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
60.3%

Draw
25%

Athletic Bilbao B
14.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.8%

23.3%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.6%

22.3%

13.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Athletic Bilbao B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tenerife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Bilbao B than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Tenerife - Athletic Bilbao B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martin D. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 4. Leon J. 12. Landazuri A. 19. Alvarez C. 29. Fernandez D. 6. Juanjo 16. Sanz A. 10. Gil N. 17. Balde M. 9. de Miguel J.	13. Santos M. (G) 28. Monreal I. 4. Dunabeitia A. 15. Alday I. 12. Barandalla M. 18. Garcia E. 8. Lete E. 11. Bujan E. 10. Sanchez I. 17. Huestamendia P. 20. Vizcay T.
Substitutes
5. Calavera J. 18. Enric 15. Fabricio 22. Gonzalez A. 23. Jorge J. 14. Lopez N. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 11. Mesa M. 7. Montes C. 28. Sabina F. 27. Ulloa A. 3. Zoilo A.	3. De Luis J. 5. Ebro Cortina E. 1. Gamen E. (G) 6. Gibelalde M. 23. Gift E. 2. Irurita X. 14. Izagirre Cestona A. 35. Lozano M. 9. Sanz I. 34. Urzaiz U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
24', Sanchez I. 🟨,
38', Dunabeitia A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', de Miguel J. ↓, Enric ↑,
57', Fernandez D. ↓, Jorge J. ↑,
58', Balde M. ↓, Perez J. ↑,
60', Barandalla M. ↓, Gift E. ↑,
60', Huestamendia P. ↓, Sanz I. ↑,
60', Sanz A. 🟨,
62', 0 - 1, Sanz I. ⚽,
74', Garcia E. ↓, Gibelalde M. ↑,
74', Sanz A. ↓, Fabricio ↑,
82', Juanjo ↓, Sabina F. ↑,
87', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent performances by Tenerife have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Athletic Bilbao B is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Tenerife has had a series of away games.

In this match, Tenerife is seen as the favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Tenerife won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.11.25	Ferrol - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Alcalá - Tenerife	0:4 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.10.25	Barakaldo - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Tenerife - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Cacereño - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLLT
- Athletic Bilbao B
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
01.11.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Zamora - Athletic Bilbao B	4:1 ✺
19.10.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Cacereño	1:3 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
15.10.25	Leeds United U21 - Athletic Bilbao B	2:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.10.25	Barakaldo - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.06.16	Athletic Bilbao B - Tenerife	2:0
16.01.16	Tenerife - Athletic Bilbao B	2:0

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