Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday

Location: Campo de Lasesarre (Barakaldo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+


	Barakaldo		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	4.2	2.9	1.91
				Watch
	4.05	3	1.95
	4.3	2.98	2.02
	3.61	3.20	2.05	Watch
	4.01	3.02	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (3.61)	3.02 ↓ (3.2)	1.99 ↓ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
22.9%

Draw
30.6%

Tenerife
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

29%

45.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

28.7%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Barakaldo - Tenerife Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Barakaldo (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Barakaldo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ispizua I. (G) 2. de Jesus B. 4. Dufur U. 18. Arana M. 16. Lopez O. 6. Naveira U. 8. Huidobro J. 17. de Leon J. 21. San Bartolome V. 11. Perez E. 9. Valino A.	1. Martin D. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 22. Gonzalez A. 12. Landazuri A. 3. Zoilo A. 20. Manjam A. 5. Calavera J. 16. Sanz A. 10. Gil N. 9. de Miguel J. 18. Enric
Substitutes
23. Albizua U. 13. Campos G. (G) 19. Galarza A. 3. Garcia B. 20. Mandiang S. 5. Molina E. 14. Munoz I. 7. Pedernales I. 24. Ropero I. 10. Sabin 22. Torra M.	19. Alvarez C. 17. Balde M. 15. Fabricio 29. Fernandez D. 6. Juanjo 4. Leon J. 14. Lopez N. 13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 11. Mesa M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
26', de Jesus B. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 1 - 0, San Bartolome V. ⚽,
54', 2 - 0, San Bartolome V. ⚽,
54', Gonzalez A. 🟨,
57', Zoilo A. ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
57', de Miguel J. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
60', de Leon J. ↓, Mandiang S. ↑,
70', Valino A. ↓, Pedernales I. ↑,
70', de Jesus B. ↓, Galarza A. ↑,
73', Enric 🟨,
73', Calavera J. ↓, Lopez N. ↑,
78', Naveira U. 🟨,
81', Sanz A. ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
84', Perez E. ↓, Molina E. ↑,
84', Naveira U. ↓, Albizua U. ↑,
89', Arana M. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

In recent matches, Barakaldo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tenerife is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tenerife will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.10.25	CD Guadalajara - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
10.10.25	Barakaldo - Athletic Bilbao B	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Arenteiro - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Barakaldo - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
21.09.25	Talavera de la Reina - Barakaldo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TWTTT
- CD Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.10.25	Tenerife - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Cacereño - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Tenerife - Zamora	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Tenerife	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Tenerife - Ourense CF	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LTWWW

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