Match Info

Copa del Rey - 1/64-finals

Date: 28 October 2025, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Alcalá		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	5	3.3	1.71	Watch
	4.7	3.15	1.78
	4.54	2.86	1.98	Watch
	4.43	3.32	1.85	Watch
	4.5	3.25	1.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.63 ↑ (4.26)	3.18 ↓ (3.59)	1.83 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alcalá
20%

Draw
29.2%

Tenerife
50.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

25.7%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

27.6%

56.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alcalá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcalá than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tenerife could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	28.6%	71.4%

Alcalá - Tenerife Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Tenerife (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Alcalá (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcalá (votes: 1 - 25%). Tenerife (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gil I. (G) 7. Arribas J. 12. Bernardos M. 14. Cheki 15. Chete 11. Javi H. 18. Lopez D. 8. Marcos S. 22. Nieto D. 19. Sanchez N. 4. Torres H.	13. Lozano de Vuyst G. (G) 19. Alvarez C. 15. Fabricio 29. Fernandez D. 22. Gonzalez A. 6. Juanjo 4. Leon J. 14. Lopez N. 11. Mesa M. 2. Rodriguez D. 28. Sabina F.
Substitutes
6. Blanco A. 20. Campuzano E. 2. de Castro J. 16. Gonzalez A. 10. Izan 5. Jimenez J. 3. Marin D. D. L. C. 13. Pantoja C. (G) 17. Portero A. 23. Robledo I. 24. Salinas A.	30. Aragoneses S. (G) 17. Balde M. 9. de Miguel J. 10. Gil N. 23. Jorge J. 12. Landazuri A. 20. Manjam A. 37. Ulloa A. 3. Zoilo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Sabina F. ⚽, Fernandez D. (A),
45+1', Juanjo 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
53', Cheki 🟨,
56', 0 - 2, Mesa M. ⚽,
58', Lopez D. ↓, Campuzano E. ↑,
58', Arribas J. ↓, Izan ↑,
65', 0 - 3, Fernandez D. ⚽, Lopez N. (A),
68', Mesa M. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
68', Fernandez D. ↓, Gil N. ↑,
68', Lopez N. ↓, Manjam A. ↑,
68', Marcos S. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
68', Javi H. ↓, Portero A. ↑,
83', Nieto D. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
83', Sabina F. ↓, Jorge J. ↑,
83', Juanjo ↓, Ulloa A. ↑,
87', 0 - 4, Gil N. (Pen),

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Alcalá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Tenerife is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcalá won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RSD Alcalá
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
25.10.25	Alcalá - Tenerife B	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Las Palmas B - Alcalá	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Alcalá - Quintanar del Rey	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	Alcalá - Getafe B	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Colonia Moscardó - Alcalá	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWTT
- CD Tenerife
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.10.25	Barakaldo - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Tenerife - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:2 ✺
12.10.25	Cacereño - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Tenerife - Zamora	3:1 ✺
27.09.25	Real Madrid Castilla - Tenerife	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
12.05.13	Tenerife - Alcalá	0:1

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