Match Info

Copa de la Reina Women - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	Sevilla		Tenerife

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.05
	3.55	3.05	1.98
	2.96	3.15	2.25
	3.09	3.12	2.26	Watch
	3.5	3.1	1.95
	3.78	3.17	1.99
	3.75	3.25	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.67)	3.13 ↑ (2.83)	2.06 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sevilla
26.6%

Draw
29.1%

Tenerife
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

31.3%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

31.6%

35.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sevilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sevilla's form might have worsened.

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tenerife's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sevilla than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sevilla, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tenerife, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sevilla - Tenerife Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Echezarreta M. (G) 17. Garcia D. 5. Llamas E. (C) 4. Alvarez I. 15. Martin-Pozuelo E. 6. Redondo A. 16. Arnaiz I. 9. Kanteh Cham F. 20. Marquez R. 7. Morcillo R. 23. Gabarro I.	13. Caceres N. (G) 11. Zaremba A. 3. Cinta Rodriguez 18. Verges E. 22. Gavira Collado P. 16. Blanco C. 6. Hernandez P. 14. Ramos N. 8. Amani B. 24. Gramaglia P. 7. Ouzraoui Diki S.
Substitutes
8. Alvarez A. 35. Barrios X. 19. Cerrato A. 10. Cortes M. 22. Hagel C. 30. Lopez A. 24. Marques A. 11. Moral L. 1. Sullastres E. (G) 34. Torres J.	15. Bicho 12. Castello S. 28. Lopez J. 29. Martin M. I. 19. Perez I. 17. Perez M. 1. Ramos N. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Gabarro I. ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Amani B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 1 - 2, Gramaglia P. ⚽, Zaremba A. (A),
54', Ramos N. 🟨,
63', Ouzraoui Diki S. 🟨,
65', Martin-Pozuelo E. ↓, Cortes M. ↑,
68', Blanco C. 🟨,
73', Hernandez P. ↓, Castello S. ↑,
73', Kanteh Cham F. ↓, Cerrato A. ↑,
73', Garcia D. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
74', Arnaiz I. 🟨,
82', Ouzraoui Diki S. ↓, Perez I. ↑,
84', Redondo A. ↓, Moral L. ↑,
84', Arnaiz I. ↓, Marques A. ↑,
85', Perez I. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 1.

Sevilla is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tenerife has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Sevilla won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 18:36. (average 1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sevilla won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.7:1.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sevilla FC Women
Spanish Liga F Women
13.12.25	Sevilla - Alhama	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Atlético Madrid - Sevilla	2:2 ✺
22.11.25	Sevilla - Deportivo A Coruña	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Sevilla - Logroño United	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Granada - Sevilla	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WTWWW
- CD Tenerife Femenino
Spanish Liga F Women
14.12.25	Tenerife - Logroño United	1:1 ✺
06.12.25	Barcelona - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Tenerife - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Tenerife - Granada	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Madrid CFF - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
06.09.25	Sevilla - Tenerife	0:4
02.02.25	Sevilla - Tenerife	0:2
14.09.24	Tenerife - Sevilla	4:1
23.03.24	Tenerife - Sevilla	5:0
04.10.23	Sevilla - Tenerife	5:1
14.05.23	Tenerife - Sevilla	3:1
03.12.22	Sevilla - Tenerife	2:2

Sevilla - Tenerife: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide