Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 17

Date: 13 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Alfredo di Stéfano Stadium (Madrid)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana, M+ Ellas V


	Real Madrid		Athletic Bilbao

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.32	4.85	6.9	Watch
	1.34	5.23	7.44	Watch
	1.3	4.6	7
	1.3	4.7	8.55
	1.32	5	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↑ (1.22)	4.88 ↓ (5.5)	7.48 ↓ (11)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
69.2%

Draw
18.7%

Athletic Bilbao
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75%

16.6%

8.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid's form might have worsened.

Athletic Bilbao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Misa (C) 15. Garcia S. 4. Galvez Luna R. 14. Mendez M. 12. Yasmim 10. Weir C. 28. Dorado I. 16. Angeldal F. 19. Navarro E. 43. Santiago I. 7. del Castillo A.	13. Nanclares A. (G) 20. Elexpuru A. 3. Landaluze N. 4. Bibi 27. Zaldivar N. 8. Zubieta M. 5. Valero M. 19. Vilarino M. 33. Gurtubay E. 18. Ortega S. 11. Azkona A. (C)
Substitutes
22. Andersson B. 17. Bennison H. 18. Caicedo L. 5. Comendador P. 29. Cristobal S. 8. Dabritz S. 21. Holmgaard S. 23. Lakrar M. 26. Lopez L. (G) 11. Redondo A. 6. Toletti S.	30. Agote D. 23. Arana E. 14. Banos L. 21. Campos A. 17. Nevado N. 31. Pargaray T. 15. Pinedo C. 9. Sanadri 1. Santana O. (G) 2. Torre Larranaga M.
Coaches
Quesada P.	Lerga J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Nanclares A. ↓, Santana O. ↑,
14', Valero M. 🟨,
38', Navarro E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Navarro E. ↓, Comendador P. ↑,
57', Yasmim ↓, Dabritz S. ↑,
57', del Castillo A. ↓, Caicedo L. ↑,
57', Angeldal F. ↓, Holmgaard S. ↑,
62', Vilarino M. ↓, Agote D. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Ortega S. ⚽,
67', Elexpuru A. ↓, Nevado N. ↑,
74', Garcia S. ↓, Redondo A. ↑,
81', Azkona A. ↓, Campos A. ↑,
81', Gurtubay E. ↓, Arana E. ↑,
83', Dorado I. ↓, Toletti S. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (Qualification ~ Second stage: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 5.

In recent matches, both teams have secured multiple victories.

In this match, Real Madrid is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:6. (average 2.1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Real Madrid W	6	4	1	1	13:13	0	13
4	Athletic Bilbao W	6	3	2	1	11:8	3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Real Madrid - the odds 1.22 are the expected chance of winning is 75.03%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Women
Spanish Liga F Women
10.01.26	Real Madrid - Sevilla	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
20.12.25	Espanyol - Real Madrid	0:4 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
17.12.25	Twente - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
13.12.25	Granada - Real Madrid	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
09.12.25	Real Madrid - Wolfsburg	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWTWW
- Athletic Bilbao Women
Spanish Liga F Women
10.01.26	Athletic Bilbao - Badalona	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa De La Reina
19.12.25	CE Europa - Athletic Bilbao	0:3 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
13.12.25	Madrid CFF - Athletic Bilbao	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Athletic Bilbao - Levante	1:0 ✺
22.11.25	Granada - Athletic Bilbao	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
12.10.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid	1:4
02.03.25	Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid	1:2
22.09.24	Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	2:0
09.06.24	Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	1:0
27.01.24	Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid	0:1
Spanish Copa De La Reina
24.05.23	Athletic Bilbao - Real Madrid	0:4
Spanish Liga F Women
28.01.23	Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao	2:1

Real Madrid - Athletic Bilbao: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide