The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tenerife 65%
Draw 22.6%
Eibar 12.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
61.8%
22.3%
15.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.6%
21%
15%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
Eibar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eibar than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Tenerife - Eibar Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Caceres N. (G) 4. Dembele F. 18. Verges E. 22. Gavira Collado P. (C) 14. Ramos N. 11. Zaremba A. 6. Hernandez P. 8. Amani B. 16. Blanco C. 10. Suarez C. 7. Ouzraoui Diki S.
1. Astralaga E. (G) 6. Etxezarreta A. 12. Belem A. 4. Andres C. 11. Camino 7. Altonaga A. (C) 10. Valej E. 3. Facila G. 14. Lacosta I. 22. Clement Tukumbuke O. 23. Moreno E.
Substitutes
9. Arias A. 15. Bicho 21. Carballo Cabrera A. 12. Castello S. 3. Cinta Rodriguez 24. Gramaglia P. 29. Martin M. I. 5. Moreno Y. 19. Perez I. 17. Perez M. 1. Ramos N. (G)
16. Alvarez C. 19. Diaz S. 28. Guerenu 8. Iribarren 13. Marti Ensenat L. (G) 5. Ojeda P. 21. Uranga
Coaches
Maestre E.
Goikoetxea I.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Valej E. ↓, Iribarren ↑,
46', Lacosta I. ↓, Diaz S. ↑,
59', Suarez C. ↓, Gramaglia P. ↑,
67', Blanco C. ↓, Carballo Cabrera A. ↑,
67', Ouzraoui Diki S. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
68', Clement Tukumbuke O. ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
73', Andres C. 🟨,
78', Altonaga A. ↓, Uranga ↑,
80', Verges E. ↓, Perez I. ↑,
87', 0 - 1, Alvarez C. ⚽, Diaz S. (A),
90+3', Moreno E. ↓, Ojeda P. ↑,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 2.
Tenerife is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Eibar is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Tenerife is the obvious favorite.
We predict that Tenerife will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:7. (average 1.4:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).