Match Info

Liga F Women - Round 5

Date: 28 September 2025, Sunday

Location: Football Field Adeje (Adeje)

Referee: Cebollada P. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tenerife		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	4.75	3.8	1.55
	4.97	4.12	1.59
	4.42	3.98	1.67	Watch
	4.71	3.78	1.61
	4.8	3.95	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.73 ↑ (4.61)	3.93 ↓ (4.05)	1.6 ↑ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
19.4%

Draw
23.3%

Real Madrid
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

22.3%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.8%

21.3%

60.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Tenerife - Real Madrid Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tenerife (votes: 1 - 50%). Real Madrid (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramos N. (G) 11. Zaremba A. 4. Dembele F. 18. Verges E. 22. Gavira Collado P. (C) 21. Carballo Cabrera A. 6. Hernandez P. 14. Ramos N. 8. Amani B. 10. Suarez C. 7. Ouzraoui Diki S.	13. Frohms M. (G) 2. Antonia 14. Mendez M. 22. Andersson B. 12. Yasmim 8. Dabritz S. 16. Angeldal F. 10. Weir C. (C) 19. Navarro E. 9. Bruun S. 18. Caicedo L.
Substitutes
9. Arias A. 15. Bicho 16. Blanco C. 13. Caceres N. (G) 12. Castello S. 3. Cinta Rodriguez 24. Gramaglia P. 28. Lopez J. 19. Perez I. 17. Perez M.	27. Bejarano N. 17. Bennison H. 5. Comendador P. 7. del Castillo A. 20. Feller N. 29. Fernandez S. 33. Folgado A. 21. Holmgaard S. 24. Keukelaar L. 26. Lopez L. (G) 1. Misa (G) 11. Redondo A.
Coaches
Maestre E.	Quesada P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Hernandez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Weir C. ↓, del Castillo A. ↑,
46', Mendez M. ↓, Redondo A. ↑,
46', Navarro E. ↓, Feller N. ↑,
55', Dembele F. 🟨,
60', Dabritz S. (Pen),
75', Yasmim ↓, Fernandez S. ↑,
75', Antonia ↓, Holmgaard S. ↑,
77', Hernandez P. ↓, Castello S. ↑,
80', Holmgaard S. 🟨,
84', Suarez C. ↓, Gramaglia P. ↑,
90', Ouzraoui Diki S. ↓, Perez I. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 0.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Tenerife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Tenerife has had a series of away games.

In this match, Real Madrid is a strong favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife Femenino
Spanish Liga F Women
21.09.25	Alhama - Tenerife	0:4 ✺
13.09.25	Tenerife - Espanyol	0:0 ✺
06.09.25	Sevilla - Tenerife	0:4 ✺
30.08.25	Athletic Bilbao - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly Women
22.08.25	Logroño United - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WTWTW
- Real Madrid Women
Spanish Liga F Women
21.09.25	Real Madrid - Deportivo A Coruña	4:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
18.09.25	Real Madrid - Eintracht Frankfurt	3:0 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
14.09.25	Real Madrid - Madrid CFF	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
11.09.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Real Madrid	1:2 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
05.09.25	Atlético Madrid - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Liga F Women
11.05.25	Real Madrid - Tenerife	1:1
29.09.24	Tenerife - Real Madrid	1:4
Club Friendly Women
17.08.24	Tenerife - Real Madrid	1:1
Spanish Liga F Women
18.02.24	Real Madrid - Tenerife	2:1
01.10.23	Tenerife - Real Madrid	1:2
18.03.23	Real Madrid - Tenerife	0:1
08.02.23	Tenerife - Real Madrid	2:3

Tenerife - Real Madrid: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide