Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 4

Date: 6 September 2024, Friday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Referee: Galech I. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4, Moja TV
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	DAZN 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 2, Sportbox.ru
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar, Movistar+ Lite, Movistar Plus+ 1, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1, #Vamos
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5
United-kingdom	Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player
World	Disney+, LaLiga+ app


	Tenerife		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.3	3.25	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3.1
	2.2	3.2	3.3	Watch
	2.25	3.26	3.6
	2.19	3.21	3.55	Watch
	2.4	3.25	2.8
	2.18	3.2	3.56	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.25)	3.22 ↓ (3.29)	3.31 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
42.3%

Draw
29.3%

Racing Santander
28.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.4%

28.3%

30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

28.5%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	33.3%	55.6%

Tenerife - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Racing will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Racing: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrasco S. (G) 22. Mellot J. 23. Juande 12. Alves R. 2. Rodriguez D. 11. Cruz Luismi 8. Diarra Y. 5. Gonzalez S. 17. Rubio W. 20. Mesa M. 9. Rodriguez A.	13. Ezkieta J. (G) 17. Michelin C. 18. Manu 24. Montero J. 3. Garcia S. 21. Vencedor U. 8. Aldasoro A. 11. Martin A. 22. Rodriguez P. 10. Vicente I. 19. Karrikaburu J.
Substitutes
15. Bodiger Y. 19. Cantero A. 10. Corredera A. 18. Enric 24. Gaya J. 14. Guerrero A. 4. Leon J. 27. Manjam A. 13. Nadal T. (G) 28. Perera D. 34. Senhadji Y. 21. Teto A.	9. Arana J. 20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 40. Garcia M. 12. Gueye M. 7. Junior L. 4. Moreno P. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M.
Coaches
Cano O.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Garcia S. 🟨,
45+1', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Rodriguez P. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
60', Mesa M. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
60', Rodriguez A. ↓, Enric ↑,
61', Karrikaburu J. ↓, Arana J. ↑,
64', 0 - 1, Arana J. ⚽, Martin A. (A),
68', Enric 🟨,
72', Rubio W. ↓, Teto A. ↑,
72', Alves R. ↓, Leon J. ↑,
77', Martin A. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
80', Mellot J. 🟨,
83', Vencedor U. 🟨,
84', Gonzalez S. ↓, Senhadji Y. ↑,
85', Garcia S. 🟨,
88', Vicente I. ↓, Moreno P. ↑,
89', Junior L. ↓, Sainz-Maza I. ↑,
90+1', Arana J. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 3.

Tenerife is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Racing is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
31.08.24	Cádiz - Tenerife	2:2 ✺
24.08.24	Tenerife - Almería	0:1 ✺
19.08.24	Eldense - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Tenerife - Real Madrid Castilla	0:1 ✺
03.08.24	Eldense - Tenerife	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLLLW
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
30.08.24	Real Oviedo - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
23.08.24	Racing Santander - Eibar	2:2 ✺
18.08.24	Racing Santander - Almería	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	Burgos - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.03.24	Racing Santander - Tenerife	4:2
03.10.23	Tenerife - Racing Santander	2:0
27.01.23	Racing Santander - Tenerife	1:1
03.09.22	Tenerife - Racing Santander	1:0
21.06.20	Racing Santander - Tenerife	1:2
20.10.19	Tenerife - Racing Santander	3:3
10.05.15	Racing Santander - Tenerife	1:0

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