Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 15

Date: 23 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Plantío (Burgos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, TOD
Ecuador	DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DSports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Burgos		Racing Santander

	1	X	2
	2.32	3.2	3.05	Watch
	2.4	2.98	3	Watch
	2.57	3.35	2.91
	2.44	3.22	2.97	Watch
	2.52	3.1	3.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.42)	3.17 ↓ (3.25)	3.01 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Burgos
38.6%

Draw
29.9%

Racing Santander
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

29.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

29.6%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Burgos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Racing Santander has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Burgos than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.8%	30.8%	15.4%

Burgos - Racing Santander Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Burgos will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Racing will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Burgos: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Burgos (2.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Burgos (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Cantero A. (G) 2. Lizancos A. 6. Gonzalez S. 8. Sierra G. 12. Miguel F. 21. Cordoba I. 23. Morante I. 5. Atienza M. 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 9. Nino F. 16. Curro	1. Ezkieta J. (G) 2. Mantilla A. 5. Castro J. 21. Ramon P. 32. Salinas J. 14. Gueye M. 19. Puerta G. 11. Martin A. 18. Canales P. 10. Vicente I. 12. Villalibre A.
Substitutes
10. Appin K. 15. Bunuel A. 17. Cantero M. 18. Cordoba A. 28. del Cerro S. 33. Exposito M. 31. Garcia F. 20. Gonzalez M. 22. Martinez B. 7. Mejia M. 11. Mollejo V. 1. Ruiz J. (G)	8. Aldasoro A. 13. Andreev P. (G) 9. Arana J. 7. Cabanzon Y. 20. Camara S. 3. Garcia M. 16. Gonzalez F. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 4. Manu 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M. 36. Sergio M.
Coaches
Ramis L.	Lopez J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', Lizancos A. 🟨,
26', Ramon P. 🟨,
32', 0 - 1, Gueye M. ⚽, Salinas J. (A),
45', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', 0 - 2, Villalibre A. ⚽, Salinas J. (A),
62', Vicente I. ↓, Sangalli M. ↑,
62', Villalibre A. ↓, Jeremy Arevalo ↑,
63', Curro ↓, Appin K. ↑,
63', Cordoba I. ↓, Gonzalez M. ↑,
63', Gonzalez S. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
65', Mantilla A. 🟨,
67', Morante I. 🟨,
68', Canales P. 🟨,
73', Gueye M. 🟨,
75', Gonzalez Ballesteros D. ↓, Mollejo V. ↑,
77', Martin A. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
83', Mantilla A. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
83', Canales P. ↓, Aldasoro A. ↑,
86', Morante I. ↓, Mejia M. ↑,
88', Miguel F. 🟨,
89', Ramis L. 🟥,
90+5', Aldasoro A. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 3.

Burgos has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Racing is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Racing may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Burgos: Chapela I. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Racing: Salinas J. (Jaw injury)

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Burgos won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 0.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Burgos won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Burgos - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 39.02%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Burgos CF
Spanish LaLiga2
16.11.25	Mirandés - Burgos	0:2 ✺
10.11.25	Burgos - Castellón	0:0 ✺
01.11.25	Leganés - Burgos	1:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Burgos	1:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Burgos - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 WTWWW
- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
15.11.25	Racing Santander - Granada	2:2 ✺
09.11.25	Las Palmas - Racing Santander	3:1 ✺
31.10.25	Racing Santander - Real Sociedad B	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	SD Logroñés - Racing Santander	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
25.10.25	Mirandés - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
09.02.25	Burgos - Racing Santander	2:1
16.11.24	Racing Santander - Burgos	2:0
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Burgos - Racing Santander	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
14.04.24	Burgos - Racing Santander	2:1
22.10.23	Racing Santander - Burgos	3:0
Club Friendly
15.07.23	Racing Santander - Burgos	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
01.04.23	Burgos - Racing Santander	2:1

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