Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 5 - Round 11

Date: 16 November 2025, Sunday


	Tenerife B		Colonia Moscardó

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	5.25
				Watch
	1.68	3.4	4.45
	1.67	3.54	5.23
	1.87	3.48	3.79	Watch
	1.63	3.72	5.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.82)	3.55 ↑ (3.38)	4.83 ↑ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife B
54.8%

Draw
26%

Colonia Moscardó
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

26.7%

23.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

26.8%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife B's performance.

Colonia Moscardó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife B than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife B that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colonia Moscardó than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Tenerife B - Colonia Moscardó Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, Siverio Toro M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, Marrero M. ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, Costa M. ⚽,
81', 3 - 1, Meddeb W. ⚽,

Preview

Tenerife B has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Moscardó has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Moscardó may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Tenerife B is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tenerife B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Tenerife B won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tenerife B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
09.11.25	Rayo Majadahonda - Tenerife B	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Tenerife B - Fuenlabrada	1:3 ✺
25.10.25	Alcalá - Tenerife B	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Intercity - Tenerife B	2:3 ✺
12.10.25	Tenerife B - Socuéllamos	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLWL
- Colonia Moscardó
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.11.25	Colonia Moscardó - Elche Ilicitano	3:2 ✺
02.11.25	Las Palmas B - Colonia Moscardó	3:0 ✺
26.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - Getafe B	1:2 ✺
19.10.25	Rayo Vallecano B - Colonia Moscardó	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Colonia Moscardó - Conquense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.04.25	Tenerife B - Colonia Moscardó	1:1
01.12.24	Colonia Moscardó - Tenerife B	0:4

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