Match Info

Chance Liga - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: AGC Arena Na Stinadlech (Teplice)

Referee: Nehasil L. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Slovakia	Voyo


	Teplice		Baník Ostrava

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.45	3.25	2.75
	2.72	3.1	2.52	Watch
	2.88	3.25	2.71
	2.92	2.84	2.71	Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.76	3.06	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.74 ↑ (2.45)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)	2.61 ↓ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teplice
34%

Draw
30.2%

Baník Ostrava
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

28.4%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

27.6%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teplice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Baník Ostrava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teplice than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baník Ostrava than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Teplice - Baník Ostrava Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Trmal M. (G) 34. Audinis N. 17. Halinsky D. 28. Vecerka D. 35. Radosta M. 6. Bilek M. (C) 37. Marecek D. 25. Riznic M. 23. Marecek L. 46. Auta J. 11. Kozak M.	23. Jedlicka M. (G) 34. Bewene A. 17. Frydrych M. (C) 6. Pojezny K. 95. Holzer D. 18. Planka D. 5. Boula J. 55. Musak A. 10. Plavsic S. 12. Gning A. 15. Jurecka V.
Substitutes
8. Fortelny J. 18. Fully E. 5. Jakubko J. 16. Kodes P. 31. Lichtenberg K. (G) 33. Ludha R. (G) 12. Naprstek M. 27. Nyarko B. 10. Pulkrab M. 3. Svanda J. 22. Takacs L.	77. Almasi L. 9. Buchta D. 1. Budinsky V. (G) 2. Havran M. 3. Kante H. 20. Ortiz P. 25. Owusu D. 29. Pira J. 19. Sancl F. 99. Sinyavskiy V.
Coaches
Frtala Z.	Dvornik J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', Marecek L. 🟨,
33', 1 - 0, Marecek L. ⚽, Vecerka D. (A),
36', 2 - 0, Auta J. ⚽, Kozak M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Auta J. ↓, Svanda J. ↑,
60', Marecek D. ↓, Kodes P. ↑,
60', Holzer D. ↓, Sinyavskiy V. ↑,
61', Jurecka V. ↓, Owusu D. ↑,
65', 2 - 1, Frydrych M. ⚽, Plavsic S. (A),
70', Planka D. ↓, Sancl F. ↑,
76', Kodes P. 🟨,
80', Bilek M. ↓, Naprstek M. ↑,
84', Gning A. ↓, Pira J. ↑,
84', Plavsic S. ↓, Havran M. ↑,
90+1', Kozak M. ↓, Pulkrab M. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Teplice won 1.

Teplice is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Baník Ostrava has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Teplice: Harustak J. (Injury) Krejci L. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Baník Ostrava: Chalus M. (Yellow Cards) Kante H. (Inactive) Kohut M. (Injury) Kubala F. (Knee Injury) Latal D. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Teplice: Zlatohlavek T. (Injury)

There are questionable in Baník Ostrava: Rusnak M. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Teplice won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 24:34. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Teplice won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:14. (average 0.8:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Teplice	9	5	1	3	17:15	2	16
12	Ostrava	10	3	1	6	7:18	-11	10

Last Results with these Odds

Teplice - the odds 2.45 are the expected chance of winning is 37.67%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Baník Ostrava - the odds 2.72 are the expected chance of winning is 33.93%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Teplice
Czech 1 Liga
03.05.26	Teplice - Slovácko	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Teplice - Hradec Králové	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Zlín - Teplice	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Teplice - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Teplice	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TLLLT
- Baník Ostrava
Czech 1 Liga
02.05.26	Baník Ostrava - Mladá Boleslav	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Baník Ostrava - Viktoria Plzeň	0:1 ✺
Czech Cup
21.04.26	Karviná - Baník Ostrava	2:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
18.04.26	Baník Ostrava - Bohemians 1905	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Jablonec - Baník Ostrava	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
22.11.25	Teplice - Baník Ostrava	1:0
17.09.25	Baník Ostrava - Teplice	1:1
22.02.25	Baník Ostrava - Teplice	2:0
21.09.24	Teplice - Baník Ostrava	2:3
31.03.24	Baník Ostrava - Teplice	4:1
22.10.23	Teplice - Baník Ostrava	0:1
21.05.23	Baník Ostrava - Teplice	2:1

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