Match Info

Chance Liga - Relegation Group - Round 1

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: AGC Arena Na Stinadlech (Teplice)

Referee: Cerny D. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 3


	Teplice		Slovácko

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.1	3.25	3.4
	2.08	3.25	3.45	Watch
	2.1	3.34	3.79
	2.03	3.38	3.61	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.03	3.32	3.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.01)	3.27 ↓ (3.38)	3.56 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teplice
45.3%

Draw
28.5%

Slovácko
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

27.6%

25.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.6%

23.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teplice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Slovácko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teplice than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Teplice that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slovácko than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Teplice - Slovácko Predictions

Users Predictions: Teplice will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Trmal M. (G) 23. Marecek L. (C) 17. Halinsky D. 28. Vecerka D. 35. Radosta M. 16. Kodes P. 37. Marecek D. 25. Riznic M. 12. Naprstek M. 11. Kozak M. 7. Zlatohlavek T.	33. Urban A. (G) 22. Huk T. 3. Rundic M. 28. Danicek V. 2. Ndefe G. 10. Travnik M. (C) 8. Tetour D. 25. Ndubuisi P. 20. Havlik M. 27. Ouanda A. 17. Suchan J.
Substitutes
34. Audinis N. 46. Auta J. 6. Bilek M. 18. Fully E. 5. Jakubko J. 31. Lichtenberg K. (G) 33. Ludha R. (G) 27. Nyarko B. 10. Pulkrab M. 3. Svanda J. 22. Takacs L.	16. Fiala A. 30. Frystak T. (G) 72. Horak R. 24. Juroska P. 7. Koscelnik M. 26. Kostadinov T. 21. Krmencik M. 9. Marinelli A. 18. Mulder J. 6. Svidersky M.
Coaches
Frtala Z.	Skuhravy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
3', Rundic M. 🟨,
15', 1 - 0, Marecek D. ⚽, Kodes P. (A),
41', Tetour D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ndubuisi P. ↓, Marinelli A. ↑,
60', Kozak M. ↓, Auta J. ↑,
62', Zlatohlavek T. ↓, Pulkrab M. ↑,
62', Havlik M. ↓, Koscelnik M. ↑,
62', Suchan J. ↓, Krmencik M. ↑,
68', Pulkrab M. 🟨,
72', Marecek D. ↓, Bilek M. ↑,
76', Kodes P. ↓, Audinis N. ↑,
79', 1 - 1, Koscelnik M. ⚽,
80', Tetour D. ↓, Kostadinov T. ↑,
89', Krmencik M. 🟨,
90+3', Ouanda A. ↓, Juroska P. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Teplice won 4.

Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.

Slovácko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Teplice is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

There will not play in Teplice: Harustak J. (Injury) Krejci L. (Injury)

There will not play in Slovácko: Blahut P. (Red Card) Heca M. (Injury) Petrzela M. (Injury) Reinberk P. (Injury) Rundic M. (Injury) Stojcevski A. (Yellow Cards) Vasko F. (Red Card)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Teplice won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Teplice won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.1:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Teplice	9	5	1	3	17:15	2	16
15	Slovacko	9	0	4	5	7:16	-9	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Teplice
Czech 1 Liga
25.04.26	Teplice - Hradec Králové	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Zlín - Teplice	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Teplice - Sparta Prague	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Teplice	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.03.26	Zbrojovka Brno - Teplice	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LLLTL
- 1. FC Slovácko
Czech 1 Liga
25.04.26	Slovácko - Dukla Prague	1:2 ✺
19.04.26	Sigma Olomouc - Slovácko	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Slovácko - Hradec Králové	1:3 ✺
04.04.26	Slovan Liberec - Slovácko	2:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sparta Prague - Slovácko	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
13.12.25	Teplice - Slovácko	1:0
16.08.25	Slovácko - Teplice	2:1
11.05.25	Teplice - Slovácko	1:0
15.03.25	Teplice - Slovácko	1:0
20.10.24	Slovácko - Teplice	0:2
16.03.24	Teplice - Slovácko	1:1
07.10.23	Slovácko - Teplice	2:0

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