Match Info

Chance Liga - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: epet ARENA (Prague)

Referee: Vsetecka J. (Cze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Czech-republic	Oneplay, Oneplay Sport 1
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Poland	Polsat Sport Extra 1
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
World	Onefootball


	Sparta Prague		Slovácko

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.2	8	Watch
	1.41	4.6	7
	1.31	5.15	8.2
	1.32	5.5	9.4
	1.31	5.24	9.14	Watch
	1.3	4.8	8.5
	1.31	5.1	8.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↑ (1.24)	4.94 ↓ (5.75)	8.43 ↓ (11.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sparta Prague
70%

Draw
18.9%

Slovácko
11.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

75.4%

16.2%

8.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sparta Prague has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sparta Prague's form might have worsened.

Slovácko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Sparta Prague - Slovácko Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovácko (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Slovácko (3.07) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Slovácko (3.62) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Users Predictions: Sparta Prague will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Slovácko (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Surovcik J. (G) 17. Sonne O. 4. Martinec J. 30. Zeleny J. 3. Kaderabek P. 6. Kairinen K. 18. Irving A. 21. Grimaldo J. 38. Sochurek H. 22. Haraslin L. (C) 29. Vojta M.	29. Heca M. (G) 5. Vasko F. 3. Rundic M. (C) 4. Stojcevski A. 2. Ndefe G. 8. Tetour D. 6. Svidersky M. 26. Kostadinov T. 15. Blahut P. 20. Havlik M. 17. Suchan J.
Substitutes
61. Kerl Dan. (G) 10. Kuchta J. 36. Kuol G. 7. Mercado J. 27. Panak F. 32. Pech S. 60. Rodriguez P. (G) 9. Rrahmani A.	14. Barat D. 16. Fiala A. 7. Koscelnik M. 21. Krmencik M. 9. Marinelli A. 27. Ouanda A. 11. Petrzela M. 23. Reinberk P. 33. Urban A. (G)
Coaches
Priske B.	Skuhravy R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
18', 1 - 0, Martinec J. ⚽, Haraslin L. (A),
25', 1 - 1, Tetour D. ⚽, Havlik M. (A),
42', 2 - 1, Sonne O. ⚽, Kaderabek P. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Kostadinov T. ↓, Ouanda A. ↑,
48', 3 - 1, Kaderabek P. ⚽, Irving A. (A),
59', Haraslin L. ↓, Mercado J. ↑,
59', Suchan J. ↓, Krmencik M. ↑,
59', Rundic M. ↓, Marinelli A. ↑,
68', Heca M. 🟨,
72', Grimaldo J. ↓, Kuchta J. ↑,
72', Irving A. ↓, Rrahmani A. ↑,
74', 4 - 1, Kuchta J. ⚽, Mercado J. (A),
85', 4 - 2, Ouanda A. ⚽, Marinelli A. (A),
86', Svidersky M. ↓, Fiala A. ↑,
86', Blahut P. ↓, Barat D. ↑,
86', Kaderabek P. ↓, Panak F. ↑,
86', Vojta M. ↓, Kuol G. ↑,
90', Sonne O. 🟨,
90+2', 5 - 2, Kuchta J. ⚽, Mercado J. (A),

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Chance Liga (Championship Group: ) and 14 in the zone Chance Liga (Relegation Group: )).

Sparta Prague is Qualified for Chance Liga (Championship Group )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 3.

Sparta Prague is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Slovácko has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sparta Prague may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sparta Prague has had a series of away games.

In this match, Sparta Prague is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Sparta Prague: Andersen M. (Knee Injury) Cobbaut E. (Injury) Eneme S. (Injury) Penxa O. (Knee Injury) Rrahmani A. (Injury) Sevinsky A. (Yellow Cards) Sorensen A. (Injury) Vindahl P. (Foot Injury) Vydra P. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Slovácko: Horak R. (Loan agreement) Travnik M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Sparta Prague: Rynes M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Slovácko: Ndubuisi P. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sparta Prague won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 34:22. (average 1.7:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sparta Prague won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Sparta Prague	9	5	0	4	18:12	6	15
15	Slovacko	9	0	4	5	7:16	-9	4

Last Results with these Odds

Sparta Prague - the odds 1.24 are the expected chance of winning is 75.37%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Sparta Prague
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.03.26	AZ Alkmaar - Sparta Prague	2:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
08.03.26	Slavia Prague - Sparta Prague	3:1 ✺
Czech Cup
03.03.26	Mladá Boleslav - Sparta Prague	1:0 penalties ✺
Czech 1 Liga
28.02.26	Sparta Prague - Baník Ostrava	5:2 ✺
22.02.26	Viktoria Plzeň - Sparta Prague	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWT
- 1. FC Slovácko
Czech 1 Liga
07.03.26	Slovácko - Mladá Boleslav	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	Karviná - Slovácko	0:2 ✺
21.02.26	Slovácko - Pardubice	2:0 ✺
14.02.26	Slovácko - Bohemians 1905	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Jablonec - Slovácko	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Czech 1 Liga
19.10.25	Slovácko - Sparta Prague	0:0
02.02.25	Slovácko - Sparta Prague	0:2
24.08.24	Sparta Prague - Slovácko	2:2
05.05.24	Slovácko - Sparta Prague	2:4
25.02.24	Slovácko - Sparta Prague	1:3
17.09.23	Sparta Prague - Slovácko	5:0
23.05.23	Slovácko - Sparta Prague	0:0

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