Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 27 February 2023, Monday

Location: Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza)

Referee: Iwanowicz K. (Pol)


	Termalica Nieciecza		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.36	4	7.5
	1.42	4.2	7
	1.45	4.1	6.25
	1.41	4.54	8.22
	1.38	3.8	8
	1.38	4.5	7.8	Watch
	1.5	4.1	6.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.49)	4.18 ↑ (4.18)	7.27 ↑ (6.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Termalica Nieciecza
65.2%

Draw
22.1%

Skra Częstochowa
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

22.3%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

21.6%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	3.8%	3.8%

Termalica Nieciecza - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Users Predictions: Termalica Nieciecza will win (24 of 26 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.07% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Recent matches Termalica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Skra Częstochowa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Termalica could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Termalica is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Termalica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
17.02.23	GKS Tychy - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1 ✺
12.02.23	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
21.01.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Korona Kielce	1:2 ✺
14.01.23	Garbarnia Kraków - Termalica Nieciecza	4:5 ✺
13.01.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Siarka Tarnobrzeg	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLWT
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 1
19.02.23	Skra Częstochowa - ŁKS Łódź	1:2 ✺
13.02.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Skra Częstochowa	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
27.01.23	Skra Częstochowa - Odra Opole	1:3 ✺
24.01.23	Polonia Bytom - Skra Częstochowa	4:1 ✺
21.01.23	Ruch Chorzów - Skra Częstochowa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
07.08.22	Skra Częstochowa - Termalica Nieciecza	0:2

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