Match Info

Ekstraklasa - Round 14

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza)

Referee: Marciniak T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 3
Canada	beIN Connect
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Poland	CANAL+ Sport 3, CANAL+ Sport 5, Ekstraklasa TV
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz


	Termalica Nieciecza		GKS Katowice

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.7	2.63	Watch
	2.38	3.6	2.62
	2.29	3.83	2.77	Watch
	2.38	3.56	2.64	Watch
	2.26	3.5	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.46)	3.64 ↑ (3.1)	2.7 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Termalica Nieciecza
39.8%

Draw
25.6%

GKS Katowice
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.3%

28.8%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.6%

27.5%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

GKS Katowice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Termalica Nieciecza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GKS Katowice than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	35%	40%

Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). GKS Katowice will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 31.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for GKS Katowice: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Termalica (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chovan A. (G) 29. Isik G. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 77. Putivtsev A. (C) 23. Guerrero S. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 13. Kubica K. 27. Boboc R. 7. Fassbender M. 25. Zapolnik K. 86. Strzalek I.	12. Straczek R. (G) 2. Kuusk M. 4. Jedrych A. (C) 6. Klemenz L. 23. Wasielewski M. 19. Lukasiak K. 5. Bosch J. 8. Galan B. 10. Wedrychowski M. 99. Zrelak A. 27. Nowak B.
Substitutes
17. Biniek D. 35. Deisadze D. 21. Hilbrycht D. 26. Jakubik W. 9. Jimenez J. 2. Kopacz B. 8. Kurzawa R. 5. Masoero L. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 53. Trubeha A. 6. Wolski M.	11. Blad A. 30. Czerwinski A. 13. Jaroszek B. 21. Kokosinski J. 14. Lukowski J. 15. Markovic E. 20. Rejczyk F. 16. Rogala G. 80. Shkurin I. 33. Szczuka P. (G)
Coaches
Brosz M.	Gorak R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Klemenz L. ⚽, Wedrychowski M. (A),
45', Zrelak A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
61', Kubica K. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
61', Boboc R. ↓, Hilbrycht D. ↑,
62', Zrelak A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
62', Wedrychowski M. ↓, Markovic E. ↑,
64', Shkurin I. 🟨,
68', Zapolnik K. 🟨,
76', 0 - 2, Markovic E. ⚽, Nowak B. (A),
77', Guerrero S. ↓, Jimenez J. ↑,
77', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Kurzawa R. ↑,
85', Nowak B. ↓, Blad A. ↑,
85', Lukasiak K. ↓, Rejczyk F. ↑,
89', 0 - 3, Markovic E. ⚽, Shkurin I. (A),
89', Galan B. ↓, Rogala G. ↑,
90', Strzalek I. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 0.

Termalica is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

GKS Katowice is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Termalica may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Termalica: Wolski M. (Inactive)

There will not play in GKS Katowice: Paluszek A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in GKS Katowice: Czerwinski A. (Injury)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 1.1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

GKS Katowice - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 34.89%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Ekstraklasa
24.10.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Lubin	1:1 ✺
20.10.25	Wisła Płock - Termalica Nieciecza	3:1 ✺
04.10.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Piast Gliwice - Termalica Nieciecza	4:2 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Widzew Łódź	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL
- GKS Katowice
Polish Cup
28.10.25	ŁKS Łódź - GKS Katowice	1:2 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
25.10.25	GKS Katowice - Korona Kielce	1:0 ✺
17.10.25	Motor Lublin - GKS Katowice	2:5 ✺
05.10.25	GKS Katowice - Lech Poznań	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Wisła Płock - GKS Katowice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Cup
24.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	1:2
Polish Division 1
21.04.24	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	2:2
08.10.23	GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza	0:0
12.02.23	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	1:1
24.07.22	GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza	3:3
Polish Cup
27.10.21	GKS Katowice - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ET
Polish Division 1
20.04.19	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	1:1

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