Match Info

Division 2 - Round 29

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadion Miejski Chojniczanka 1930 (Chojnice)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Chojniczanka Chojnice		Skra Częstochowa

	1	X	2
	1.42	4.1	6
	1.49	4	5.6
	1.57	3.86	5.71
	1.55	3.95	6.04	Watch
	1.44	3.8	6.5
	1.45	4	6.22	Watch
	1.44	4.1	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↑ (1.46)	3.97 ↓ (4.16)	6.04 ↑ (5.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Chojniczanka Chojnice
61.8%

Draw
23%

Skra Częstochowa
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

22%

15.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

21.2%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chojniczanka Chojnice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Skra Częstochowa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chojniczanka Chojnice than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Skra Częstochowa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Chojniczanka Chojnice - Skra Częstochowa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Primel D. (G) 2. Bakowicz M. 22. Branecki J. 21. Golinski J. 10. Kaminski D. 34. Nowacki D. 11. Stefaniak M. 7. Szczepanek B. (C) 19. Tkocz M. 3. Yukhymovych D. 31. Zywicki J.	99. Warszakowski B. (G) 6. Araujo Guilherme J. L. 31. Estigarribia 22. Kaczorowski K. 77. Kolodziejczyk P. 18. Lesniak-Paduch N. 16. Niedbala J. (C) 97. Okusami J. 53. Szywacz W. 13. Waclawek B. 98. Wirenski J.
Substitutes
1. Antkowiak M. (G) 5. Czajka B. 30. Golebiowski R. 16. Kacerik A. 91. Korczyc K. 66. Olejnik P. 24. Romanik J. 18. Sajdak P. 8. Zylla M.	10. Garcia B. 19. Kaczmar M. 1. Kramarz F. (G) 3. Majewski R. 7. Nocon P. 5. Owczarek P. 37. Rogala K. 26. Sobczak K. 8. Wrobel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', 🟨,
12', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 🟨,
59', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
68', 🟨,
69', 🟨,
72', 🟥,
75', 1 - 0, ⚽,
77', 🟨,
79', 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Division 2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chojniczanka won 1.

Chojniczanka has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Skra Częstochowa's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Skra Częstochowa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Chojniczanka is the obvious favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Chojniczanka won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Chojniczanka won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Chojniczanka Chojnice
Polish Division 2
27.04.25	Swit Skolwin - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
19.04.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - GKS Jastrzębie	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Pogoń Grodzisk Mazowiecki	1:0 ✺
28.03.25	Olimpia Elbląg - Chojniczanka Chojnice	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWTWL
- KS Skra Częstochowa
Polish Division 2
25.04.25	Skra Częstochowa - Wieczysta Kraków	1:0 ✺
17.04.25	Wisła Puławy - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
12.04.25	Polonia Bytom - Skra Częstochowa	5:3 ✺
04.04.25	Skra Częstochowa - Swit Skolwin	1:2 ✺
28.03.25	GKS Jastrzębie - Skra Częstochowa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 2
04.10.24	Skra Częstochowa - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:0
22.03.24	Skra Częstochowa - Chojniczanka Chojnice	0:0
08.09.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Skra Częstochowa	0:0
Polish Division 1
13.02.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Skra Częstochowa	2:0
22.07.22	Skra Częstochowa - Chojniczanka Chojnice	2:0
Polish Division 2
15.06.21	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Skra Częstochowa	0:1
03.04.21	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Skra Częstochowa	1:3

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