Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 18

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Ternana		Bra

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.38	4.35	7.5
	1.4	4.27	8.39
	1.39	4.25	7.64	Watch
	1.4	3.8	7.5
	1.38	3.98	7.95	Watch
	1.4	4	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.54)	4.11 ↑ (3.76)	7.91 ↑ (5.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
66%

Draw
22.4%

Bra
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

24.3%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.6%

23.9%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ternana's performance.

Bra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ternana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bra than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

Ternana - Bra Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. D'Alterio F. (G) 20. Donati F. 19. Capuano M. (C) 13. Maestrelli A. 7. Romeo F. 8. McJannet E. 4. Vallocchia A. 43. Ndrecka A. 70. Durmush M. 9. Dubickas E. 27. Ferrante A.	22. Renzetti D. (G) 6. Sganzerla R. 4. Cannistra P. 31. De Santis E. (C) 2. Lia D. 29. Maressa T. 14. Lionetti G. 27. Campedelli R. 20. Morleo U. 11. Sinani I. 92. Baldini E.
Substitutes
2. Bianay Balcot C. 38. Bruti T. 16. Garetto M. 10. Leonardi S. 6. Loiacono G. 87. Martella B. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 30. Orellana M. 32. Pettinari S. 80. Proietti M. 5. Tripi F. 34. Turella M. 1. Vitali T. (G)	80. Chiabotto V. 25. Corsi L. 72. Cucciniello F. P. 9. Di Biase G. 28. Dimatteo S. 1. Franzini D. (G) 47. La Marca M. 21. Minaj E. 36. Rabuffi M. 3. Rottensteiner B. 8. Tuzza S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Maestrelli A. 🟨,
27', Capuano M. 🟨,
35', Baldini E. 🟨,
37', Campedelli R. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Ferrante A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', Dubickas E. ↓, Pettinari S. ↑,
64', Durmush M. ↓, Orellana M. ↑,
65', Campedelli R. ↓, La Marca M. ↑,
65', Morleo U. ↓, Minaj E. ↑,
65', Maressa T. ↓, Tuzza S. ↑,
80', Romeo F. ↓, Bianay Balcot C. ↑,
80', Ferrante A. ↓, Garetto M. ↑,
87', Sinani I. ↓, Di Biase G. ↑,
90', Ndrecka A. ↓, Martella B. ↑,
90+2', Lionetti G. ↓, Dimatteo S. ↑,
90+3', 2 - 0, Orellana M. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Ternana is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Bra has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ternana has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ternana is the clear favorite.

We predict that Ternana will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.12.25	Ternana - Brescia	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
07.12.25	Perugia - Ternana	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Ternana - Guidonia Montecelio	1:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Ternana - Giugliano	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
23.11.25	Ternana - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WWLWW
- AC Bra
Italian Serie C Group B
06.12.25	Bra - Campobasso	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Forlì - Bra	1:1 ✺
21.11.25	Bra - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Arezzo - Bra	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Bra - Pineto	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WTWLL

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