Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 16

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia


	Ternana		Guidonia Montecelio

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.65	3.45	5.15
	1.64	3.47	5.69
	1.65	3.56	5.26	Watch
	1.64	3.34	5.25	Watch
	1.63	3.5	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.65)	3.46 ↓ (3.56)	5.37 ↑ (5.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
56.2%

Draw
26.6%

Guidonia Montecelio
17.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

26.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

25.3%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Guidonia Montecelio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

The ML Model estimate for Guidonia Montecelio aligns with the current prediction.

Ternana - Guidonia Montecelio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. D'Alterio F. (G) 20. Donati F. 19. Capuano M. (C) 87. Martella B. 7. Romeo F. 4. Vallocchia A. 16. Garetto M. 43. Ndrecka A. 70. Durmush M. 9. Dubickas E. 10. Leonardi S.	1. Stellato G. (G) 13. Mule E. 5. Cristini A. 4. Esempio S. 77. Zappella D. 33. Tascone S. 14. Santoro S. 21. Mastrantonio V. 8. Errico A. 98. Bernardotto G. 10. Spavone A.
Substitutes
2. Bianay Balcot C. 38. Bruti T. 27. Ferrante A. 6. Loiacono G. 13. Maestrelli A. 8. McJannet E. 14. Meccariello B. 22. Morlupo A. (G) 30. Orellana M. 32. Pettinari S. 5. Tripi F. 34. Turella M. 33. Valenti M. 1. Vitali T. (G)	18. Calzone S. 20. Falleni A. 80. Franchini S. 11. Marchioro R. 12. Mazzi G. (G) 24. Russo L. 7. Sannipoli D. 17. Stefanelli F. 99. Tessiore A. 66. Vitturini D. 32. Zuppel D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
10', 0 - 1, Zappella D. ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Durmush M. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Mastrantonio V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Vallocchia A. 🟨,
62', Martella B. ↓, Orellana M. ↑,
62', Romeo F. ↓, Bianay Balcot C. ↑,
62', Garetto M. ↓, McJannet E. ↑,
70', Tascone S. ↓, Tessiore A. ↑,
70', Spavone A. ↓, Falleni A. ↑,
70', Dubickas E. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
74', Mastrantonio V. ↓, Franchini S. ↑,
80', Durmush M. ↓, Pettinari S. ↑,
83', Bernardotto G. ↓, Zuppel D. ↑,
89', Cristini A. 🟨,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Ternana is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Guidonia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Guidonia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ternana is the team to beat.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Coppa Italia Serie C
26.11.25	Ternana - Giugliano	3:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
23.11.25	Ternana - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
15.11.25	Sambenedettese - Ternana	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Ternana - Vis Pesaro	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gubbio - Ternana	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWTTT
- Guidonia Montecelio 1937 FC
Italian Serie C Group B
23.11.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
15.11.25	Vis Pesaro - Guidonia Montecelio	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Pontedera	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Sambenedettese - Guidonia Montecelio	0:1 ✺
25.10.25	Guidonia Montecelio - Sassari Torres	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLWWT

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