Match Info

Date: 1 March 2022, Tuesday


	Ternana		Pordenone

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.6	6	Watch
	1.66	3.5	5.5
	1.65	3.5	5.85	Watch
	1.65	3.4	5.4
	1.68	3.71	5.97
	1.7	3.5	5.25
	1.68	3.74	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.72)	3.56 ↑ (3.3)	5.62 ↑ (5.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
56.7%

Draw
26.5%

Pordenone
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.4%

28.3%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

22.7%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Pordenone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ternana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Ternana - Pordenone Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 14 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Ternana has the most likely position - 14 (24.66%), has project points - 47, has currently - 31, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (2%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (74.18%), has project points - 23, has currently - 12, has a very good chance of relegated (99%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 22, very small importance 5, small match rating 14. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Ternana is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pordenone has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Ternana is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ternana won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
26.02.22	Ternana - Cremonese	1:2 ✺
22.02.22	SPAL - Ternana	5:1 ✺
19.02.22	Parma - Ternana	2:3 ✺
15.02.22	Ternana - Monza	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Pisa - Ternana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LLWLT
- Pordenone Calcio
Italian Serie B
26.02.22	Vicenza Virtus - Pordenone	1:0 ✺
22.02.22	Pordenone - Monza	1:4 ✺
19.02.22	Reggina - Pordenone	2:0 ✺
15.02.22	Pordenone - Cittadella	0:1 ✺
12.02.22	Parma - Pordenone	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.10.21	Pordenone - Ternana	1:3
Italian Serie C Group B
24.03.19	Ternana - Pordenone	1:1
26.11.18	Pordenone - Ternana	1:0
Coppa Italia
07.08.16	Ternana - Pordenone	2:0 ET

Ternana - Pordenone: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide