Match Info

ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 29

Date: 9 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani (Pisa)

Referee: Giua A. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	Sky Sport


	Pisa		Ternana

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4
	1.87	3.5	4	Watch
	1.94	3.6	4.49
	1.9	3.59	4.45
	1.95	3.3	3.8
	1.9	3.5	4.21	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (1.99)	3.5 ↑ (3.41)	4.17 ↑ (3.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pisa
50.2%

Draw
27.1%

Ternana
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

27.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

29%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pisa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	36.4%	18.2%

Pisa - Ternana Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Pisa will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Ternana will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pisa: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Loria L. (G) 33. Calabresi A. 4. Caracciolo Ant. 5. Canestrelli S. 19. Esteves T. 15. Toure I. 8. Marin M. 42. Barbieri T. 28. Arena A. 7. Tramoni L. 32. Moreo S.	1. Iannarilli A. (G) 32. Sgarbi F. 19. Capuano M. 44. Lucchesi L. 72. Amatucci L. 15. Casasola T. 71. Luperini G. 66. Pyyhtia N. 79. Carboni F. 10. Pereiro G. 17. Favilli A.
Substitutes
20. Beruatto P. 77. D'Alessandro M. 30. De Vitis A. 6. Hermannsson H. 3. Leverbe M. 26. Masucci G. 17. Mlakar J. 1. Nicolas A. (G) 36. Piccinini G. 16. Sala M. 27. Valoti M. 40. Veloso M.	5. Boloca G. 6. Dalle Mura C. 65. Dionisi F. 28. Di Stefano F. 16. Faticanti G. 27. Favasuli C. 22. Franchi D. (G) 25. Labojko J. 73. Marginean I. 9. Raimondo A. 4. Sorensen F. 11. Zuberek J.
Coaches
Aquilani A.	Breda R.

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pisa won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Pisa is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Pisa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Pisa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AC Pisa
Italian Serie B
03.03.24	Cittadella - Pisa	0:1 ✺
28.02.24	Pisa - Modena	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	Pisa - Venezia	1:2 ✺
17.02.24	Parma - Pisa	3:2 ✺
10.02.24	Pisa - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTLLW
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
02.03.24	Ternana - Parma	1:3 ✺
27.02.24	Palermo - Ternana	2:3 ✺
24.02.24	Ternana - Lecco	0:0 ✺
17.02.24	Reggiana - Ternana	0:2 ✺
11.02.24	Ternana - Spezia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
26.12.23	Ternana - Pisa	1:1
16.04.23	Ternana - Pisa	2:1
26.11.22	Pisa - Ternana	3:1
12.02.22	Pisa - Ternana	0:0
11.09.21	Ternana - Pisa	1:4
21.01.17	Pisa - Ternana	1:0
07.09.16	Ternana - Pisa	1:0

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