The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
SPAL 22.9%
Draw 27.4%
Ternana 49.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
14.4%
23.9%
61.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
14%
23.2%
63.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SPAL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SPAL's performance.
Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ternana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for SPAL than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SPAL that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+13.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ternana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
29.4%
11.8%
58.8%
SPAL - Ternana Predictions
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. SPAL will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Ternana will win (votes: 10 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Ternana: 42.8% โ 90.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Meneghetti M. (G) 6. Fiordaliso A. 3. Bruscagin M. 29. Nador S. 19. Mignanelli D. 17. Iglio G. 4. Paghera F. 10. Radrezza I. (C) 20. Zammarini R. 25. Molina J. I. 33. D'Orazio L.
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 15. Casasola T. 13. Maestrelli A. 6. Loiacono G. 3. Tito F. 5. Corradini G. 8. de Boer K. 20. Donati F. 21. Curcio A. 10. Cicerelli E. 71. Cianci P.
Substitutes
7. Antenucci M. 5. Awua T. 26. Bassoli A. 28. Calapai L. 15. Haoudi H. 9. Karlsson O. 99. Nina C. 18. Ntenda J. 11. Rao E. 40. Spini C. 34. Stagni T. (G) 31. Zenti A. (G)
44. Brignola E. 72. Ciammaglichella A. 99. Donnarumma A. 2. Fazzi N. 9. Ferrante A. 87. Martella B. 7. Millico V. 4. Vallocchia A. 1. Vitali T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Cicerelli E. ⚽,
20', Paghera F. ↓, Rao E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Iglio G. ↓, Haoudi H. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Cianci P. ⚽,
62', Bruscagin M. 🟨,
64', D'Orazio L. ↓, Spini C. ↑,
64', Bruscagin M. ↓, Calapai L. ↑,
68', Corradini G. ↓, Vallocchia A. ↑,
74', Zammarini R. ↓, Antenucci M. ↑,
77', Cianci P. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
77', Curcio A. ↓, Millico V. ↑,
82', Cicerelli E. ↓, Ciammaglichella A. ↑,
82', Tito F. ↓, Martella B. ↑,
87', 0 - 3, Ferrante A. ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)).
Last 5 head-to-head matches SPAL won 1.
SPAL is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ternana is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
In this match Ternana is a favorite.
There will not play in SPAL: Arena M.
(Injury)
Bidaoui S.
(Muscle Injury)
Camelio U.
(Muscle Injury)
El Kaddouri O.
(Muscle Injury)
Parravicini F.
(Heart Problems)
Sottini E.
(Injury)
There will not play in Ternana: Aloi S.
(Yellow Cards)
Damiani S.
(Knee Injury)
Krastev D.
(Knee Injury)
Romeo F.
(Knee Injury)
Viviani F.
(Knee Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:9 (average 1.7:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams SPAL won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:2 (average 3.3:0.7).
Italy
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Meneghetti M. (G) 
Nador S. 
Molina J. I. 
de Boer K. 
Awua T. 
Karlsson O. 
Ntenda J. 
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