The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pordenone 23%
Draw 29.3%
Monza 47.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.7%
29.2%
44.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.2%
22.1%
58.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pordenone has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pordenone than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
4.6%
20%
75.4%
Pordenone - Monza Predictions
Users Predictions:
65 users predict this event. Pordenone will win (votes: 3 - 4.6%). Monza will win (votes: 49 - 75.4%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 20%). Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 64.9% โ 85.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Pordenone has the most likely position - 20 (56.88%), has project points - 25, has currently - 12, has a very good chance of relegated (97%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Monza has the most likely position - 4 (14.61%), has project points - 64, has currently - 41, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (70%), has a chance of promoted (34%), has a small chance of win league (7%).
This event has small quality26, small importance30, small match rating28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 0.
Pordenone is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Monza is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match Monza is a favorite.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Pordenone won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 8-18.
Including matches at home between the teams Pordenone won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2-6.
Watch
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