Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 20

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday


	Teruel		Cornellà

	1	X	2
	2	2.88	3.75
	2	2.85	3.6
	2.1	3	3.75	Watch
	2.2	2.69	4.35
	2.1	2.9	3.1
	2.04	2.96	3.99
	2.02	2.95	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.27)	2.89 ↑ (2.75)	3.76 ↑ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teruel
44.2%

Draw
31.6%

Cornellà
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.2%

32.4%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

30.6%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teruel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Cornellà has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Teruel that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cornellà than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cornellà could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Teruel - Cornellà Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Teruel will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Konate T. (G) 23. Pascual A. 20. Sierra I. 4. Cabetas E. 3. Hualde J. 30. Alastuey J. 8. Tena 14. Castillo N. 6. Romero B. 11. Martinez B. 9. Naranjo G.	13. Meykher Y. (G) 14. Kike Lopez 4. Hernandez A. 15. Mas J. 16. Ayala S. 20. Verges E. 46. Soma P. 6. Toni Arranz 18. Caballero A. 22. Gonpi A. 23. Tenas M.
Substitutes
10. Aparicio D. 21. Facu 18. Gabarre A. 5. Gaixas A. 26. Gomez H. 24. Lainez Alhajas E. (G) 13. Rodriguez Heredia N. (G) 15. Sanchis V. 19. Villanueva D.	17. Canario 8. Cherradi A. 24. Li H. (G) 7. Luisao 21. Rios E. 11. Simon R. 5. Vilaplana Dachs M.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Recent matches Teruel is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Cornellà is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Teruel will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Teruel won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Teruel won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.01.24	Sestao - Teruel	1:1 ✺
03.01.24	Teruel - Leonesa	0:0 ✺
16.12.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Teruel	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Teruel - SD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	Osasuna B - Teruel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TTTLT
- UE Cornellà
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.01.24	Cornellà - Sabadell	0:1 ✺
03.01.24	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Cornellà	3:0 ✺
16.12.23	Cornellà - Lugo	1:0 ✺
10.12.23	Ponferradina - Cornellà	1:0 ✺
02.12.23	Cornellà - Rayo Majadahonda	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
29.10.23	Cornellà - Teruel	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
19.05.19	Cornellà - Teruel	2:0
07.01.19	Teruel - Cornellà	0:2
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.12.18	Teruel - Cornellà	5:2 ET
21.11.18	Cornellà - Teruel	4:1

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