Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 3 January 2024, Wednesday


	Teruel		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.1	1.83	Watch
	4.2	2.95	1.82
	5	3	1.83	Watch
	4.87	3.17	1.86
	4.87	3.17	1.86
	4.33	2.9	1.75
	4.71	2.99	1.89
	4.8	2.8	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.62 ↑ (2.96)	3.01 ↑ (2.96)	1.84 ↓ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teruel
19.8%

Draw
30.4%

Leonesa
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

39.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teruel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Teruel's form might have worsened.

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Teruel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Teruel - Leonesa Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Leonesa will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Konate T. (G) 15. Sanchis V. 20. Sierra I. 4. Cabetas E. (C) 23. Pascual A. 6. Romero B. 8. Tena 10. Aparicio D. 14. Castillo N. 11. Martinez B. 19. Villanueva D.	1. Banuz M. (G) 22. Muguruza J. 4. Coch A. 15. Fornos Q. 17. Martinez A. 16. Berto 8. Barri 6. Presa K. (C) 18. Solar M. 14. Bicho J. 9. Guillermo
Substitutes
30. Alastuey J. 9. Buenacasa A. 21. Facu 18. Gabarre A. 3. Hualde J. 24. Lainez Alhajas E. (G) 13. Rodriguez Heredia N. (G)	13. Amigo (G) 7. Calderon C. 5. Guitian A. 19. Hanza D. 27. Lopez D. 28. Ortega G. 3. Pol J. 10. Rey A. 21. Rodri 20. Rodri Suarez 12. Toca N.

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Teruel is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Leonesa is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Leonesa will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.12.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Teruel	0:0 ✺
10.12.23	Teruel - SD Logroñés	0:2 ✺
03.12.23	Osasuna B - Teruel	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Teruel - Sabadell	2:2 ✺
19.11.23	Teruel - Celta de Vigo B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 TLTTL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.12.23	Leonesa - Sabadell	3:0 ✺
09.12.23	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
02.12.23	Leonesa - Real Unión de Irun	2:0 ✺
25.11.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Leonesa	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	Leonesa - Barcelona B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLWLW

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