Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 3

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Pinilla (Teruel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Teruel		Eldense

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.1	2.45
	2.65	3	2.4
	2.68	3.1	2.52
	2.78	3.1	2.58
	2.64	2.63	3.16	Watch
	2.72	3.08	2.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↑ (2.57)	3 ↓ (3.12)	2.61 ↑ (2.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teruel
34.2%

Draw
30.6%

Eldense
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.2%

29%

35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.2%

28.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teruel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Eldense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Teruel - Eldense Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Eldense (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Eldense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ruben Galvez (G) 23. Royo M. 15. Rodriguez A. 18. del Moral A. 4. Van Rijn N. 5. Goyo Medina 14. Relu 16. Albisua H. 8. Blesa Alex 29. Alvaro Merencio 7. Moreno S.	1. Vila R. (G) 5. Gaixas A. 3. Smand F. 4. Dumic D. 17. Clemente J. 7. Quintana Nacho 8. Bustillo M. 21. Ruiz D. 19. Ibarrondo A. 10. Fidel 11. Bellari H.
Substitutes
9. Arguigue Safsati A. 3. Fondarella D. 22. Joseda 27. Lucena M. . Marti A. 28. Navarro A. 21. Padilla J. 1. Palop A. (G) 26. Sanchez M. 10. Sutherland T. 17. Traore M.	9. Dioni . Ibanez R. 26. Jimenez C. 18. Macho G. 12. Molina M. 22. Nunez R. 2. Serradell A. G. 13. Valencia P. (G) 23. Vallejo J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Van Rijn N. 🟨,
44', Royo M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Alvaro Merencio ↓, Padilla J. ↑,
57', Bellari H. ↓, Dioni ↑,
60', Moreno S. ↓, Arguigue Safsati A. ↑,
71', Goyo Medina ↓, Joseda ↑,
74', Ruiz D. ↓, Molina M. ↑,
75', Clemente J. ↓, Vallejo J. ↑,
78', Quintana Nacho 🟨,
81', 0 - 1, Vallejo J. ⚽,
90', Blesa Alex ↓, Sutherland T. ↑,
90', Van Rijn N. ↓, Traore M. ↑,
90', Joseda 🟨,
90+8', 🟨,
90+12', 1 - 1, Arguigue Safsati A. ⚽,
90+15', 🟨,

Preview

Teruel has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Eldense has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Teruel - the odds 2.57 are the expected chance of winning is 35.16%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Eldense - the odds 2.53 are the expected chance of winning is 35.81%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.09.25	Alcorcón - Teruel	2:1 ✺
31.08.25	Teruel - Betis B	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
20.08.25	Osasuna B - Teruel	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Teruel - Ejea	1:0 ✺
13.08.25	Teruel - Castellon B	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LTLWW
- CD Eldense
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
06.09.25	Eldense - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
30.08.25	Sabadell - Eldense	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.25	Cartagena - Eldense	4:1 ✺
17.08.25	Intercity - Eldense	Canceled ✺
16.08.25	Eldense - Orihuela	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTL?L

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