Match Info
Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 13Date: 23 November 2025, SundayLocation: Estadio Municipal Cartagonova (Cartagena)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
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Cartagena |
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Eldense |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.15 |
3 |
3.1 |
|
 |
2.25 |
3 |
3.15 |
|
 |
2.06 |
3.15 |
3.66 |
 Watch |
 |
2.25 |
2.91 |
3.21 |
|
 |
2.63 |
2.7 |
2.75 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.06) |
2.95 ↓
(3.15) |
3.17 ↓
(3.66) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Cartagena
40.3% | Draw
30.9% | Eldense
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Eldense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cartagena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eldense than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Eldense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Cartagena - Eldense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
13.  Garcia L. (G)
18.  Perejon D.
4. Serrano R.
5. Baz I.
22. Martinez N.
23. Nacho
10. Larrea P.
11. Redondo L.
6. Fidalgo A.
20. Gomez D.
19. Chiki
| 1. Vila R. (G)
19. Ibarrondo A.
5. Gaixas A.
3.  Smand F.
17. Clemente J.
20. Ibanez R.
12. Molina M.
7. Quintana Nacho
18. Macho G.
10. Fidel
9. Dioni
|
| Substitutes |
14. Alcaniz E.
7. Calderon C.
29. Checo
21. Chuca
8.  De Blasis P.
2. Jurado M.
16. Martin A.
9. Ortuno A.
30.  Reyes J. (G)
| 11. Bellari H.
15.  Billups B.
6. Calvo B.
4.  Dumic D.
26. Jimenez C.
22.  Nunez R.
16. Quintanilla R.
21. Ruiz D.
13. Valencia P. (G)
|
Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Larrea P. 🟨,
- 35', Chiki 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Macho G. 🟨,
- 61', Ibanez R. ↓, Calvo B. ↑,
- 67', Gaixas A. ↓, Dumic D. ↑,
- 67', Martinez N. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
- 67', Gomez D. ↓, Calderon C. ↑,
- 67', Larrea P. ↓, De Blasis P. ↑,
- 67', Fidel 🟨,
- 72', Serrano R. 🟨,
- 88', Bellari H. 🟨,
- 89', Fidalgo A. ↓, Alcaniz E. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 2.In recent matches, Cartagena has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).Eldense is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Recently, Cartagena has had a series of away games. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Cartagena won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.3:0.7).Including home matches between the teams, Cartagena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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