Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 33

Date: 20 April 2024, Saturday


	Teruel		Sestao

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.25
	2.05	3	3.2
	2.15	3.1	3.4
	2.27	3	3.63
	2.27	2.88	3.63
	2.17	3.07	3.4
	2.1	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.32)	3.02 ↓ (3.02)	3.41 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Teruel
42.6%

Draw
30.4%

Sestao
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

30.3%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

32.1%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Teruel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Teruel than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Teruel - Sestao Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Konate T. (G) 15. Sanchis V. 20. Sierra I. 4. Cabetas E. 3. Hualde J. 23. Pascual A. 14. Castillo N. 21. Facu 11. Martinez B. 30. Alastuey J. 9. Naranjo G.	1. Puig S. (G) 2. Carbonell A. 5. Martinez G. 6. Jaso Zunzarren A. 22. Etxeberria M. 8. Garai G. 14. Gete A. 9. Cabo J. 21. Guruzeta J. 7. Aranzabe A. 10. Martinez Ortiz L.
Substitutes
7. Ahn June Hyuk 10. Aparicio D. 2. Carmona F. 18. Gabarre A. 5. Gaixas A. 24. Lainez Alhajas E. (G) 17. Neskes 13. Rodriguez Heredia N. (G) 6. Romero B. 19. Villanueva D.	19. Corbalan A. 23. Corral R. 24. Garcia P. (G) 17. Kaxe 3. Mateo A. 12. Mirapeix D. 16. Ozkoidi J. 20. Sanz I. 11. Uriarte K. 13. Zeberio U. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Sierra I. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Sanchis V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Alastuey J. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
46', Sierra I. ↓, Carmona F. ↑,
62', Gete A. ↓, Kaxe ↑,
62', Aranzabe A. ↓, Corbalan A. ↑,
64', Sanchis V. ↓, Aparicio D. ↑,
69', Corbalan A. 🟨,
69', Facu 🟨,
72', Naranjo G. ↓, Gabarre A. ↑,
73', Garai G. ↓, Sanz I. ↑,
73', Jaso Zunzarren A. ↓, Mirapeix D. ↑,
78', Facu ↓, Gaixas A. ↑,
81', Gabarre A. 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Recent matches Teruel is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sestao is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Teruel will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Teruel won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Teruel
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.04.24	Teruel - Deportivo A Coruña	1:3 ✺
06.04.24	Sabadell - Teruel	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Teruel - Real Unión de Irun	2:1 ✺
23.03.24	Real Sociedad B - Teruel	2:2 ✺
16.03.24	Teruel - Barcelona B	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LTWTL
- Sestao River
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.04.24	Sestao - Real Unión de Irun	3:1 ✺
06.04.24	Real Sociedad B - Sestao	2:3 ✺
30.03.24	Sestao - Rayo Majadahonda	2:1 ✺
24.03.24	Lugo - Sestao	4:3 ✺
16.03.24	Sestao - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.01.24	Sestao - Teruel	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.04.13	Sestao - Teruel	1:0

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