The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sestao 35.6%
Draw 36.1%
Real Unión de Irun 28.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37.6%
31.6%
30.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
31.3%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sestao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Real Unión de Irun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión de Irun than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Sestao - Real Unión de Irun Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
52', 0 - 1, De La Mata J. ⚽,
79', De La Mata J. 🟨,
83', 1 - 1, Rojo J. ⚽,
90+2', 1 - 2, Katsukunya T. ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 1 in the zone Promotion).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 2.
Sestao is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Real Unión has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Sestao could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sestao won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 17:19. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Sestao won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1:1).
Watch
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