Match Info

AFC Champions League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Prince Abdullah al-Faisal Stadium (Jeddah)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, Q Football Asia, TOD
Australia	Paramount+
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
China	iQIYI, Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Germany	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Hong-kong	HOY TV, M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malaysia	Astro Arena Bola 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Netherlands	Canal+, ESPN 2
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Pakistan	Tapmad
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Russia	TV Start
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
South-korea	Coupang Play
Turkey	D Smart GO, Spor Smart 1
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Onefootball, Sport 1 Baltic


	Buriram United		Shabab Al-Ahli

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.45	3.8	1.7	Watch
	4.73	3.85	1.76
	4.54	4	1.68	Watch
	4.6	3.7	1.67
	4.74	3.68	1.75	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.61 ↓ (4.83)	3.81 ↓ (4.03)	1.71 ↑ (1.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Buriram United
20.4%

Draw
24.7%

Shabab Al-Ahli
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.2%

23%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.4%

24%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Buriram United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Shabab Al-Ahli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buriram United than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al-Ahli than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shabab Al-Ahli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Buriram United - Shabab Al Ahli Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Shabab Al-Ahli will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Etheridge N. (G) 19. Schindler K. 22. Ko Myeong-Seok 6. Good C. 30. Stojkovic F. 16. Dougall K. (C) 26. Toku E. 44. Zulj P. 23. Causic G. 9. Jaided S. 7. Bissoli	22. Al Meqebaali H. (G) 31. Kauan Santos 4. Planic B. 13. Renan 25. Gomes I. 6. Ezatolahi S. 80. Breno 77. Guilherme 10. Cartabia F. (C) 57. Yuri Cesar 19. Mateusao
Substitutes
34. Bootprom C. (G) 5. Bunmathan T. 2. Haiprakon S. 3. Hemviboon P. 75. Lee-Oh S. 27. Sukjitthammakul P. 14. Walsh S.	5. Abbas W. 21. Adil S. 18. Al Mansouri M. 1. Al Menhali R. (G) 26. Al Nuaimi E. 14. Garcia D. 28. Gonzalez Baquero S. 58. Irala E. 79. Joao Marcelo 75. Mateus Henrique 23. Seifi M. 70. Thiago
Coaches
Jackson M.	Sousa P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Zulj P. (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Toku E. ↓, Walsh S. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Ezatolahi S. ⚽, Renan (A),
52', Dougall K. 🟨,
56', Breno 🟨,
64', 1 - 2, Bissoli (Penalty Awarded),
70', 2 - 2, Zulj P. ⚽,
74', Mateusao ↓, Adil S. ↑,
79', Breno ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
81', Zulj P. 🟨,
83', Al Menhali R. 🟨,
88', Cartabia F. ↓, Al Mansouri M. ↑,
90', Gomes I. ↓, Mateus Henrique ↑,
90+2', Walsh S. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 1)
93', 2 - 3, Renan ⚽,
99', Jaided S. ↓, Haiprakon S. ↑,
102', Good C. 🟨,
106', Ezatolahi S. ↓, Al Nuaimi E. ↑,
112', Walsh S. ↓, Bunmathan T. ↑,
113', Yuri Cesar ↓, Thiago ↑,
116', Causic G. 🟨,
120+4', Ko Myeong-Seok 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))

Buriram is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Shabab Al-Ahli's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Shabab Al-Ahli has had a series of away games.

In this match, Shabab Al-Ahli is considered a favorite.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Buriram United
Thai League 1
12.04.26	Buriram United - Ayutthaya United	2:0 ✺
Thai League Cup
08.04.26	Buriram United - Pathum United	0:1 ✺
Thai League 1
04.04.26	Ratchaburi - Buriram United	2:2 ✺
22.03.26	Buriram United - Muangthong United	2:1 ✺
Thai League Cup
18.03.26	Pattani - Buriram United	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLTWW
- Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai
AFC Champions League
14.04.26	Tractor Sazi - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:3 ✺
UAE Football League
10.04.26	Al Ain - Shabab Al-Ahli	3:2 ✺
04.04.26	Shabab Al-Ahli - Al-Jazira	2:1 ✺
UAE Presidents Cup
21.03.26	Al-Jazira - Shabab Al-Ahli	1:0 ✺
UAE Football League
16.03.26	Dibba Al Fujairah - Shabab Al-Ahli	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW

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