The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sukhothai 54.3%
Draw 24.4%
Nakhon Ratchasima 21.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.6%
25.7%
29.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.9%
23.6%
32.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sukhothai's performance.
Nakhon Ratchasima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nakhon Ratchasima might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-13.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sukhothai that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nakhon Ratchasima than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nakhon Ratchasima could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sukhothai - Nakhon Ratchasima Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -0.75 - Sukhothai (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sukhothai (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Saensuk K. (G) 2. Logarwit S. 15. Promsupa S. 93. Claudio 25. Otton C. 8. Aranpiroj R. 70. Mateusinho 5. Romeu 17. Mhuaddarak T. (C) 10. Baggio J. 35. Chatthong S.
18. Lakhonphon N. (G) 3. Mamadou B. 45. Jaiphet A. 43. Lalic N. 16. Lemdee B. 8. Martinez Viti 21. Jaroenbut N. (C) 35. Wendel 19. Bangsungnoen R. 23. Dennis Murillo 14. Mita H.
Substitutes
21. Denman A. 9. Elias 11. Gildo 18. Hnupichai S. (G) 20. Jandke N. 39. Jantrapho A. 22. Kanlayanabandit S. 12. Nussbaum Y. 19. Phatthaphon P. 91. Phranmaen T. 37. Promorn N. 7. Thiamrat L.
9. Athisaraworameth T. 22. Hanrattana P. 24. Hanrattana P. 17. Mungdee A. 36. Noorach T. (G) 30. Punnathat P. 29. Sanmahung J.
Coaches
Chalitaporn A.
Kongthep S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
62', Chatthong S. ↓, Gildo ↑,
69', 0 - 1, Lemdee B. ⚽, Wendel (A),
73', 1 - 1, Gildo ⚽,
77', Aranpiroj R. ↓, Denman A. ↑,
83', Lemdee B. ↓, Mungdee A. ↑,
87', Bangsungnoen R. ↓, Sanmahung J. ↑,
87', 2 - 1, Baggio J. ⚽,
90', Otton C. ↓, Phatthaphon P. ↑,
90', Logarwit S. ↓, Kanlayanabandit S. ↑,
90+1', Martinez Viti ↓, Athisaraworameth T. ↑,
90+1', Mateusinho ↓, Elias ↑,
90+2', Kanlayanabandit S. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Thai League 2).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 1.
Sukhothai has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nakhon Ratchasima has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Nakhon Ratchasima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Sukhothai is a strong favorite.
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.5:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Sukhothai won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).
Thailand
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Saensuk K. (G) 
Claudio 
Baggio J. 
Mamadou B. 
Lalic N. 
Martinez Viti 
Mita H. 
