Match Info
Thai FA Cup - 1/16-finalsDate: 20 December 2025, SaturdayLocation: Thalay Luang Stadium (Sukhothai)
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Sukhothai |
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Nongbua Pitchaya |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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1.6 |
3.4 |
5.15 |
Watch |
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1.5 |
3.7 |
5.38 |
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1.46 |
4.31 |
5.86 |
Watch |
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1.6 |
3.4 |
5 |
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1.59 |
3.65 |
5.03 |
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1.5 |
3.75 |
5.66 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.92) |
3.7 ↑
(3.06) |
5.35 ↑
(3.67) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sukhothai
58.7% | Draw
24.4% | Nongbua Pitchaya
16.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sukhothai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sukhothai's performance.Nongbua Pitchaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nongbua Pitchaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sukhothai than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sukhothai that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nongbua Pitchaya than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nongbua Pitchaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Sukhothai - Nongbua Pitchaya Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Romeu ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 53', 2 - 0, Gildo ⚽,
- 69', 3 - 0, Thumporn T. ⚽,
Preview
Sukhothai has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Nongbua Pitchaya is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins โ 4).Sukhothai may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.Recently, Sukhothai has had a series of home games. Sukhothai is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sukhothai won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).Including home matches between the teams, Sukhothai won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Thai League 1 | | | 29.03.25 | Nongbua Pitchaya - Sukhothai | 1:1 | | 08.11.24 | Sukhothai - Nongbua Pitchaya | 5:2 | | 29.04.23 | Nongbua Pitchaya - Sukhothai | 1:1 | | 19.11.22 | Sukhothai - Nongbua Pitchaya | 0:0 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
