Match Info

Date: 5 August 2021, Thursday


	The New Saints		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	9	4.5	1.36	Watch
	7.25	4.6	1.33	Watch
	7.2	4.85	1.36
	6.6	4.4	1.34
	8.12	4.51	1.37
	5.5	3.8	1.47
	7.6	4.8	1.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.32 ↑ (4.11)	4.49 ↑ (3.88)	1.37 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The New Saints
12.5%

Draw
20.4%

Viktoria Plzeň
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22%

23.3%

54.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18%

19.1%

66.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The New Saints has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that The New Saints's form might have worsened.

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viktoria Plzeň's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for The New Saints, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.8%	10.4%	81.8%

The New Saints - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: Viktoria Plzeň will win (63 of 77 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.21% – 90.43%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

1st leg. Neutral location - Cardiff City Stadium.

TNS is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Plzeň is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

TNS could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Plzeň is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The New Saints
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	The New Saints - Kauno Žalgiris	5:1 ✺
20.07.21	Kauno Žalgiris - The New Saints	0:5 ✺
15.07.21	The New Saints - Glentoran	2:0 ✺
08.07.21	Glentoran - The New Saints	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.07.21	Stafford Rangers - The New Saints	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWTL
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
01.08.21	Bohemians 1905 - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
29.07.21	Dinamo Brest - Viktoria Plzeň	1:2 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
25.07.21	Viktoria Plzeň - Mladá Boleslav	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.07.21	Viktoria Plzeň - Dinamo Brest	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
15.07.21	Viktoria Plzeň - Arsenal Tula	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

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