Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 6

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Hernando Siles (La Paz)

Referee: Villarroel L. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	The Strongest		Real Potosí

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.75	7	Watch
	1.29	5.7	7.3	Watch
	1.31	5.89	8.09
	1.32	5.77	7.61	Watch
	1.29	5	7.5
	1.29	5.3	7.36	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.35)	5.57 ↑ (5.09)	7.48 ↑ (7.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

The Strongest
71.1%

Draw
16.5%

Real Potosí
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.1%

18.3%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.7%

17.4%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The Strongest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Real Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for The Strongest than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Potosí than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

The Strongest - Real Potosí Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. The Strongest will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Real Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. The Strongest (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - The Strongest (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. The Strongest (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Banegas L. (G) 22. Saucedo W. 4. Chiatti M. 2. Moya J. 21. Quaglio F. 6. Welch J. 9. Ventura C. 30. Arrascaita J. (C) 10. Castro R. 31. Cuellar J. 14. Lom D.	1. Martinez C. (G) 22. Supayabe F. 2. Rioja J. 16. Chore C. 3. Anasgo G. 8. Cardenas I. 31. Terrazas R. 19. Brito A. 11. Gomez M. (C) 12. Condori B. 23. Ali L.
Substitutes
11. Algaranaz C. 15. Arce S. 16. Cuellar V. 17. Estacio A. 3. Pedraza P. 29. Portuncho Y. 36. Ribera R. 19. Roca C. 7. Romay K. 8. Salvatierra Flores K. F. 26. Sotomayor G. 12. Valdivia D. (G)	5. Agron B. 99. Akologo D. (G) 10. Castellon V. 17. Cuellar D. 21. Fernandez W. 41. Igor Soares 7. Suarez F. 13. Vargas J. 26. Vargas L.
Coaches
Vizuete S.	Torres F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Lom D. (Penalty Awarded),
45', Supayabe F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Ventura C. ↓, Sotomayor G. ↑,
61', Castro R. ↓, Algaranaz C. ↑,
64', Moya J. 🟨,
71', Gomez M. ↓, Igor Soares ↑,
71', Ali L. ↓, Castellon V. ↑,
72', Brito A. ↓, Cuellar D. ↑,
75', Arrascaita J. 🟨,
76', Lom D. ↓, Estacio A. ↑,
76', Welch J. ↓, Salvatierra Flores K. F. ↑,
76', Cuellar J. ↓, Ribera R. ↑,
78', Salvatierra Flores K. F. 🟨,
78', Igor Soares 🟨,
80', Chore C. 🟨,
82', Cardenas I. ↓, Vargas L. ↑,
82', Anasgo G. 🟨,
90', Terrazas R. ↓, Fernandez W. ↑,
90+3', Cuellar D. 🟨,
90+6', Castro R. 🟨,
90+6', Igor Soares 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: ) and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 5.

The Strongest has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Real Potosí has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Potosí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, The Strongest is the obvious favorite.

We predict that The Strongest will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, The Strongest won 17 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 62:19. (average 3.1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, The Strongest won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 35:9. (average 3.5:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	The Strongest	20	12	6	2	39:22	17	42
4	Real Potosi	20	8	8	4	27:14	13	32

Last Results with these Odds

The Strongest - the odds 1.35 are the expected chance of winning is 69.08%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- The Strongest
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.05.26	The Strongest - ABB	3:1 ✺
26.04.26	Real Oruro - The Strongest	2:3 ✺
23.04.26	Real Tomayapo - The Strongest	0:0 ✺
12.04.26	The Strongest - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3:2 ✺
05.04.26	Universitario de Vinto - The Strongest	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWTWW
- Real Potosí
Bolivian Division Profesional
01.05.26	Real Potosí - Real Oruro	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Oriente Petrolero - Real Potosí	2:0 ✺
22.04.26	Real Potosí - Guabirá	3:0 ✺
13.04.26	Real Tomayapo - Real Potosí	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Real Potosí - Aurora	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
23.10.21	The Strongest - Real Potosí	1:0
10.07.21	Real Potosí - The Strongest	1:3
06.12.20	Real Potosí - The Strongest	3:5
29.01.20	The Strongest - Real Potosí	3:2
22.12.19	Real Potosí - The Strongest	1:3
14.09.19	The Strongest - Real Potosí	6:2
07.04.19	Real Potosí - The Strongest	0:2

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