Match Info

JAPAN: YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 March 2025, Wednesday

Location: Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma (Maebashi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	Fuji TV Next


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		V-Varen Nagasaki

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.25	1.62	Watch
	4.6	3.5	1.62
	4.8	3.65	1.71	Watch
	4.84	3.79	1.66	Watch
	4.75	3.5	1.67
	4.98	3.88	1.65	Watch
	5.4	3.9	1.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.95 ↓ (5.21)	3.64 ↑ (3.48)	1.64 ↓ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
18.6%

Draw
25.3%

V-Varen Nagasaki
56.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.7%

26.6%

55.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1%

25.7%

57.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Thespakusatsu Gunma - V Varen Nagasaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Kim Je-hee (G) 43. Nose S. 3. Ohata R. 14. Kikuchi K. 4. Funabashi Y. 35. Tamashiro T. 20. Shimokawa T. 17. Yamanaka A. 38. Konishi H. 23. Onozeki T. 18. Tanaka S.	31. Harada G. (G) 35. Saito R. 29. Arai I. 48. Teruyama H. 23. Yoneda S. 19. Sawada T. 34. Matsumoto T. 14. Nagura T. 36. Aoki S. 18. Yamasaki R. 16. Emerson Deocleciano
Substitutes
36. Adachi S. 9. Aoki S. 27. Fujimura R. 11. Kagami T. 13. Kondo I. (G) 45. Koyama Y. 25. Nakano R. 2. Tagashira R. 22. Takahashi Y.	32. Diop S. 7. Marcos Guilherme 8. Masuyama A. 43. Nagoshi K. 28. Nanamure A. 22. Nishimura R. 41. Tadokoro R. 1. Tomizawa M. (G) 24. Yamada R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', Kikuchi K. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Onozeki T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Saito R. ↓, Masuyama A. ↑,
57', Emerson Deocleciano ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
63', Yamasaki R. 🟨,
65', Masuyama A. 🟨,
70', Yamasaki R. (Pen),
71', Aoki S. ↓, Yamada R. ↑,
73', Funabashi Y. ↓, Nakano R. ↑,
73', Konishi H. ↓, Tagashira R. ↑,
77', Sawada T. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Marcos Guilherme ⚽,
86', Onozeki T. ↓, Aoki S. ↑,
86', Shimokawa T. ↓, Adachi S. ↑,
90+1', Kikuchi K. ↓, Fujimura R. ↑,
90+1', Yamanaka A. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 3)
91', Tamashiro T. ↓, Kagami T. ↑,
91', Nagura T. ↓, Nanamure A. ↑,
97', 1 - 2, Nose S. (Own goal),
98', Nose S. ↓, Takahashi Y. ↑,
105', Takahashi Y. 🟨,
109', 1 - 3, Masuyama A. ⚽,
112', 1 - 4, Marcos Guilherme ⚽,
117', Matsumoto T. ↓, Nishimura R. ↑,
117', Yamasaki R. ↓, Tadokoro R. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 1.

Recent matches Thespakusatsu is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

V-Varen Nagasaki is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match V-Varen Nagasaki is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Thespakusatsu won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 17:40 (average 0.9:2.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Thespakusatsu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 12:18 (average 1.3:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League
23.03.25	Nara Club - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1 ✺
16.03.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Gainare Tottori	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Kagoshima United - Thespakusatsu Gunma	5:2 ✺
01.03.25	Nagano Parceiro - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLLW
- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
23.03.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Blaublitz Akita	5:1 ✺
15.03.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokushima Vortis	1:0 ✺
07.03.25	Vegalta Sendai - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Júbilo Iwata	1:0 ✺
22.02.25	Renofa Yamaguchi - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
22.09.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:0
27.04.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2
09.09.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:1
08.04.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0
18.06.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:0
30.03.22	Thespakusatsu Gunma - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:3
03.11.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:1

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