Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 14

Date: 7 May 2023, Sunday

Location: Transcosmos Stadium Nagasaki (Nagasaki)

Referee: Okabe T. (Jpn)


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Tokyo Verdy

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.63	Watch
	2.65	2.95	2.45
	2.85	3	2.55
	2.87	3.19	2.69
	2.62	3	2.5
	2.79	3.28	2.54	Watch
	2.75	3.05	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.4)	3.1 ↓ (3.13)	2.57 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
33.7%

Draw
30%

Tokyo Verdy
36.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.9%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27.9%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for V-Varen Nagasaki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

V Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 2.

V-Varen Nagasaki in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Tokyo Verdy is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 17 head-to-head matches V-Varen Nagasaki won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 22-13.

Including matches at home between the teams V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
03.05.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Mito HollyHock	4:0 ✺
29.04.23	Iwaki - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Blaublitz Akita	4:2 ✺
16.04.23	Tokushima Vortis - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:4 ✺
12.04.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WWWWW
- Tokyo Verdy
Japan J2 League
03.05.23	Tokyo Verdy - Júbilo Iwata	0:0 ✺
29.04.23	Mito HollyHock - Tokyo Verdy	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	Tokyo Verdy - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
16.04.23	JEF United Chiba - Tokyo Verdy	1:0 ✺
12.04.23	Tokyo Verdy - Blaublitz Akita	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
06.08.22	Tokyo Verdy - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:0
19.02.22	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy	1:1
07.11.21	Tokyo Verdy - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:3
25.04.21	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy	1:1
13.12.20	Tokyo Verdy - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2
02.08.20	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy	0:0
31.08.19	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy	2:1

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