The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
V-Varen Nagasaki 38.9%
Draw 29.6%
Tokyo Verdy 31.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.4%
28.9%
28.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.5%
28.9%
28.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
V-Varen Nagasaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
V Varen Nagasaki - Tokyo Verdy Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A mid-table side takes on an opponent fighting to pull away from the danger zone (ranked 15th and 20th in the Relegation - J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 2.
V-Varen Nagasaki is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Performances by Tokyo Verdy have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
V-Varen Nagasaki may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, V-Varen Nagasaki has faced a series of away games on the road.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 19 head-to-head meetings, V-Varen Nagasaki has recorded 8 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:16 (averaging 1.3:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for V-Varen Nagasaki against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 loss, with 9:7 goals (averaging 1:0.8 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
15
V-Varen Nagasaki
10
2
3
5
11:18
-7
9
20
Verdy
10
0
4
6
4:18
-14
4
Outrights of Japan J1 League for now
V-Varen Nagasaki: 0.43% Verdy: 0.34%
Last Results with these Odds
V-Varen Nagasaki - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 42.38%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.
Tokyo Verdy - the odds 3.29 are the expected chance of winning is 28.72%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
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