Match Info

National League - Round 20

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Yangon United Sports Complex (Yangon)


	Thitsar Arman		ISPE

	1	X	2
	1.89	3.71	3.11
	1.96	3.86	3.08	Watch
	1.91	3.7	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (1.95)	3.76 (3.76)	3.06 ↑ (3.05)

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thitsar Arman
46.8%

Draw
23.9%

ISPE
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

24%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

22.6%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thitsar Arman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ISPE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thitsar Arman than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ISPE than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Khant Myat Phone ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, Chan Oo S. N. ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 1, Aung P. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 6).

Thitsar Arman has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

ISPE has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

ISPE may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Thitsar Arman might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Thitsar Arman won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 2.8:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Thitsar Arman won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 2:3.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Thitsar Arman	2	0	2	0	4:4	0	2
11	Ispe FC	2	0	0	2	3:6	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thitsar Arman
Myanmar National League
26.02.26	Thitsar Arman - Ayeyawady United	0:0 ✺
20.02.26	Thitsar Arman - Dagon Port	2:2 ✺
10.02.26	Yangon United - Thitsar Arman	2:1 ✺
05.02.26	Mahar United - Thitsar Arman	3:3 ✺
30.01.26	Yadanarbon - Thitsar Arman	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TTLTW
- ISPE FC
Myanmar National League
25.02.26	ISPE - Shan United	1:6 ✺
15.02.26	Yarmanya United - ISPE	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Dagon - ISPE	3:1 ✺
04.02.26	Hanthawaddy United - ISPE	1:1 ✺
30.01.26	ISPE - Yangon United	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
25.10.25	ISPE - Thitsar Arman	3:2
20.02.25	ISPE - Thitsar Arman	0:5
14.09.24	Thitsar Arman - ISPE	1:4
Myanmar MNL League Cup
03.05.24	Thitsar Arman - ISPE	3:3

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