Match Info

National League - Round 22

Date: 16 March 2026, Monday


	Rakhine United		ISPE

	1	X	2
	2.68	3.9	2.1
	2.61	4.02	2.17	Watch
	2.5	3.6	2.2
	2.66	3.88	2.14	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.04)	3.85 ↓ (3.9)	2.15 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rakhine United
34.6%

Draw
23.5%

ISPE
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

23.3%

32.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

23.1%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rakhine United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rakhine United's form might have worsened.

ISPE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ISPE's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rakhine United than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rakhine United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ISPE than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ISPE, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Rakhine United - ISPE Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
34', 0 - 1, Win Khaing Ye (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
67', 1 - 1, Zin Min T. ⚽,
79', 1 - 2, Zay Ya Kyaw ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 11 in the zone Relegation and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rakhine United won 0.

Rakhine United is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).

ISPE has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

ISPE may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Rakhine United has had a series of away games.

Rakhine United might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Rakhine United won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:26. (average 1:2.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Rakhine United won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Ispe FC	2	0	0	2	3:6	-3	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rakhine United
Myanmar National League
11.03.26	Hanthawaddy United - Rakhine United	0:0 ✺
06.03.26	Dagon Port - Rakhine United	5:3 ✺
02.03.26	Rakhine United - Shan United	0:6 ✺
24.02.26	Dagon - Rakhine United	1:0 ✺
19.02.26	Ayeyawady United - Rakhine United	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TLLLL
- ISPE FC
Myanmar National League
11.03.26	ISPE - Dagon Port	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Thitsar Arman - ISPE	2:1 ✺
25.02.26	ISPE - Shan United	1:6 ✺
15.02.26	Yarmanya United - ISPE	1:2 ✺
09.02.26	Dagon - ISPE	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Myanmar National League
03.11.25	ISPE - Rakhine United	4:1
Myanmar MNL League Cup
15.06.25	ISPE - Rakhine United	2:2
Myanmar National League
31.01.25	Rakhine United - ISPE	0:0
13.07.24	ISPE - Rakhine United	5:1
07.12.23	ISPE - Rakhine United	4:0
28.05.23	Rakhine United - ISPE	1:1
09.10.22	Rakhine United - ISPE	1:4

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